← Match Finder
Champions League
Referee: M Oliver
Real Madrid
S S S S T
1–2
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Real Madrid Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
4,7
Scored
2,5
3,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+2,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 12/10 matches
Win Ø 83%
75%
90%
Points per game
2,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
75%
90%
Both score Ø 69%
58%
80%
Average goals
3,6
4,2
Scored
2,4
3,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,20 xG 2,92
48% Possession 52%
20 Shots 20
9 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 9
8 Corners 11
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. May -24 Real Madrid – Bayern Munich 2–1 30. Apr -24 Bayern Munich – Real Madrid 2–2

Match report

Real Madrid Bayern Munich
Aurélien Tchouaméni 🟨
37′
41′
⚽ L. Diaz 0–1
S. Gnabry
Half-time 0–2
46′
⚽ H. Kane 0–2
M. Olise
Eder Militao 🔁
↦ D. Huijsen
62′
J. Bellingham 🔁
↦ T. Pitarch
62′
69′
🔁 A. Davies
↦ K. Laimer
69′
🔁 J. Musiala
↦ S. Gnabry
70′
🟨 Jonathan Tah
B. Diaz 🔁
↦ A. Guler
71′
1–2 K. Mbappe ⚽
T. Alexander-Arnold
74′
77′
🟨 Luis Díaz
82′
🟨 Manuel Neuer
86′
🟨 Jamal Musiala
93′
🔁 L. Goretzka
↦ A. Pavlovic
93′
🔁 T. Bischof
↦ L. Diaz
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-4-2
13 A. Lunin G
12 T. Alexander-Arnold D
22 A. Rudiger D
24 D. Huijsen D
18 A. Carreras D
8 F. Valverde M
45 T. Pitarch M
14 A. Tchouameni M
15 A. Guler M
10 K. Mbappe F
7 Vinicius Junior F
Bench (12)
26 Fran
4 D. Alaba
2 D. Carvajal
3 Eder Militao
6 E. Camavinga
30 F. Mastantuono
19 D. Ceballos
21 B. Diaz
20 F. Garcia
5 J. Bellingham
17 R. Asencio
16 G. Garcia

Coach: Alvaro Arbeloa

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
44 J. Stanisic D
2 D. Upamecano D
4 J. Tah D
27 K. Laimer D
45 A. Pavlovic M
6 J. Kimmich M
17 M. Olise M
7 S. Gnabry M
14 L. Diaz M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (11)
37 L. Prescott
40 J. Urbig
8 L. Goretzka
22 R. Guerreiro
19 A. Davies
11 N. Jackson
20 T. Bischof
42 L. Karl
3 Kim Min-Jae
21 H. Ito
10 J. Musiala

Coach: Vincent Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.