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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen
Tromso
T T T T U
3–1
Full-time
Odd
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Odd
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 40%
28%
52%
Points per game
1,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
62%
59%
Both score Ø 54%
48%
59%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

33% Possession 67%
14 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 13. · Odd 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 29 20 6 3 +39 66
2 Brann 29 15 6 8 +14 51
3 Odd 29 15 6 8 +11 51
4 Molde 29 13 6 10 +7 45
5 Haugesund 29 12 9 8 +4 45
6 Sarpsborg 08 29 12 9 8 -1 45
7 Stromsgodset 29 12 7 10 +4 43
8 Viking 29 12 7 10 +0 43
9 Aalesund 29 11 6 12 -7 39
10 Sogndal 29 8 12 9 -2 36
11 Valerenga 29 9 8 12 +0 35
12 Lillestrom 29 7 10 12 -6 31
13 Tromso 29 8 7 14 -12 31
14 Bodo/Glimt 29 8 6 15 -8 30
15 Stabaek 29 7 7 15 -10 28
16 Start 29 2 10 17 -33 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Odd
11′
🟨 Espen Ruud
1–0 A. Sigurdarson
12′
2–0 S. Moussa
A. Sigurdarson
14′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 S. Mladenovic
↦ O. Berg
56′
🔁 T. Grøgaard
↦ Riku Riski
R. Espejord 🔁
↦ S. Moussa
59′
Morten Gamst Pedersen 🟨
64′
65′
O. Occéan 2–1
J. Nilsen
K. Antonsen 🔁
↦ C. Landu Landu
69′
M. Andersen 🔁
↦ T. Olsen
76′
3–1 R. Espejord
A. Sigurdarson
78′
82′
🔁 S. Haugen
↦ C. Akabueze
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Tromso

4-3-3
12 F. Lončarić
14 H. Norbye D
5 M. Ødegaard D
22 S. Wangberg D
7 Morten Pedersen M
6 C. Landu Landu M
17 A. Sigurdarson F
8 U. Jenssen D
10 T. Olsen F
23 G. Åsen F
9 S. Moussa F
Bench (7)
30 R. Espejord
3 K. Antonsen
15 M. Andersen
1 G. Kongshavn
11 J. Johansen
20 C. Johnsgard
27 F. Michalsen

Coach: B. Flovik

Odd

4-3-3
1 S. Rossbach G
2 E. Ruud D
21 S. Hagen D
18 J. Nilsen M
16 F. Semb Berge D
14 F. Nordkvelle M
20 F. Jensen M
6 O. Berg M
10 O. Occéan F
24 Riku Riski F
26 C. Akabueze
Bench (7)
13 S. Mladenovic
5 T. Grøgaard
15 S. Haugen
3 A. Gashi
4 V. Bergan
12 V. Myhra
23 L. Eriksen

Coach: D. Fagermo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.