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Eredivisie

Referee: Pol van Boekel

AZ Alkmaar

S U U U S

2–2

Full-time

Ajax

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

2,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,7

This season — Eredivisie · 9/11 matches

Win Ø 59%

44%

73%

Points per game

1,8

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

33%

55%

Both score Ø 50%

44%

55%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

1,6

2,2

Conceded

0,9

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%

15 Shots 23

5 Shots on target 10

3 Blocked shots 6

8 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 6. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	11	9	2	0	+22	29
2	Ajax	11	8	2	1	+15	26
3	PSV Eindhoven	12	7	4	1	+14	25
4	Heerenveen	11	6	3	2	+11	21
5	Twente	12	5	4	3	+4	19
6	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	4	1	+6	16
7	Sparta Rotterdam	12	4	4	4	+1	16
8	Vitesse	11	4	3	4	+2	15
9	Utrecht	10	4	3	3	+1	15
10	Den Haag	12	4	2	6	-6	14
11	Zwolle	12	3	4	5	-9	13
12	Nijmegen	12	2	6	4	-7	12
13	Excelsior	12	3	1	8	-9	10
14	Willem II	12	2	4	6	-9	10
15	Heracles	11	1	6	4	-5	9
16	Roda	12	1	6	5	-11	9
17	Go Ahead Eagles	11	2	2	7	-11	8
18	Groningen	11	1	4	6	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	+12	14
2	Ajax	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Twente	6	3	2	1	+5	11
4	Sparta Rotterdam	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Utrecht	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	3	0	+4	9
8	PSV Eindhoven	6	2	3	1	+1	9
9	Zwolle	7	2	2	3	-6	8
10	Go Ahead Eagles	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Vitesse	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Den Haag	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Nijmegen	7	1	4	2	-4	7
14	Excelsior	6	2	0	4	-2	6
15	Heracles	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Willem II	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	Roda	5	0	2	3	-5	2
18	Groningen	5	0	2	3	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	1	0	+13	16
2	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+10	15
3	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+9	13
4	Heerenveen	7	3	2	2	+6	11
5	Vitesse	6	2	2	2	+2	8
6	Twente	6	2	2	2	-1	8
7	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Den Haag	6	2	1	3	-4	7
9	Roda	7	1	4	2	-6	7
10	Groningen	6	1	2	3	+0	5
11	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	2	3	-2	5
13	Zwolle	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Nijmegen	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Willem II	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	Heracles	6	0	4	2	-4	4
17	Excelsior	6	1	1	4	-7	4
18	Go Ahead Eagles	6	0	1	5	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.