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La Liga

Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre

Sevilla

T S S S U

1–2

Full-time

Barcelona

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

4,0

Scored

1,5

2,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,7

This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 65%

60%

70%

Points per game

2,1

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

50%

70%

Both score Ø 65%

70%

60%

Average goals

3,1

4,2

Scored

1,8

3,0

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

16 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 5. · Barcelona 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	8	3	0	+21	27
2	Barcelona	10	7	1	2	+18	22
3	Villarreal	11	6	4	1	+12	22
4	Ath Madrid	11	6	3	2	+17	21
5	Sevilla	10	6	3	1	+5	21
6	Sociedad	11	6	1	4	+6	19
7	Ath Bilbao	11	5	2	4	+2	17
8	Celta	11	5	2	4	-3	17
9	Las Palmas	11	4	4	3	+3	16
10	Malaga	11	4	3	4	+1	15
11	Eibar	11	4	3	4	+1	15
12	Alaves	11	3	4	4	-4	13
13	Espanol	11	2	6	3	-4	12
14	Betis	11	3	2	6	-11	11
15	Valencia	11	3	1	7	-6	10
16	La Coruna	11	2	4	5	-8	10
17	Leganes	11	3	1	7	-13	10
18	Sp Gijon	11	2	3	6	-12	9
19	Osasuna	11	1	4	6	-9	7
20	Granada	11	0	4	7	-16	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Sevilla	5	5	0	0	+6	15
3	Real Madrid	6	4	2	0	+8	14
4	Ath Madrid	5	4	1	0	+14	13
5	Sociedad	6	4	1	1	+6	13
6	Malaga	6	4	1	1	+5	13
7	Las Palmas	6	3	3	0	+6	12
8	Celta	6	4	0	2	+1	12
9	Barcelona	5	3	1	1	+8	10
10	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+3	10
11	Eibar	5	3	1	1	+3	10
12	La Coruna	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Sp Gijon	5	2	1	2	-4	7
14	Alaves	5	1	3	1	-1	6
15	Betis	5	1	2	2	-5	5
16	Espanol	6	0	4	2	-4	4
17	Granada	6	0	3	3	-3	3
18	Valencia	5	1	0	4	-5	3
19	Osasuna	6	0	2	4	-5	2
20	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+13	13
2	Barcelona	5	4	0	1	+10	12
3	Leganes	6	3	0	3	-5	9
4	Ath Madrid	6	2	2	2	+3	8
5	Espanol	5	2	2	1	+0	8
6	Valencia	6	2	1	3	-1	7
7	Ath Bilbao	6	2	1	3	-1	7
8	Alaves	6	2	1	3	-3	7
9	Villarreal	5	1	3	1	+1	6
10	Sociedad	5	2	0	3	+0	6
11	Sevilla	5	1	3	1	-1	6
12	Betis	6	2	0	4	-6	6
13	Eibar	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Osasuna	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Celta	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Las Palmas	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	La Coruna	6	0	3	3	-8	3
18	Malaga	5	0	2	3	-4	2
19	Sp Gijon	6	0	2	4	-8	2
20	Granada	5	0	1	4	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.