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Serie A

Referee: Piero Giacomelli

Roma

S S S S U

3–0

Full-time

Bologna

T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

1,7

Scored

2,2

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 46%

64%

27%

Points per game

2,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

82%

27%

Both score Ø 64%

64%

Average goals

3,5

2,4

Scored

2,4

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

22 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 3. · Bologna 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	12	10	0	2	+16	30
2	Milan	12	8	1	3	+4	25
3	Roma	11	7	2	2	+14	23
4	Lazio	12	6	4	2	+10	22
5	Atalanta	12	7	1	4	+6	22
6	Napoli	12	6	3	3	+8	21
7	Torino	12	5	4	3	+11	19
8	Fiorentina	11	4	5	2	+3	17
9	Inter	12	5	2	5	+2	17
10	Genoa	11	4	4	3	+2	16
11	Cagliari	12	5	1	6	-9	16
12	Chievo	12	4	3	5	-2	15
13	Udinese	12	4	3	5	-3	15
14	Sampdoria	12	4	3	5	-4	15
15	Bologna	11	3	4	4	-4	13
16	Sassuolo	12	4	1	7	-8	13
17	Empoli	12	2	4	6	-7	10
18	Pescara	12	1	4	7	-11	7
19	Palermo	12	1	3	8	-14	6
20	Crotone	12	1	2	9	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	6	6	0	0	+12	18
2	Roma	5	5	0	0	+13	15
3	Milan	6	5	0	1	+5	15
4	Torino	6	4	2	0	+11	14
5	Lazio	6	4	1	1	+8	13
6	Napoli	6	4	1	1	+6	13
7	Cagliari	6	4	1	1	+4	13
8	Atalanta	6	4	0	2	+4	12
9	Inter	6	3	2	1	+4	11
10	Genoa	6	2	4	0	+5	10
11	Sampdoria	5	3	1	1	+2	10
12	Bologna	6	3	1	2	+2	10
13	Fiorentina	6	2	4	0	+2	10
14	Sassuolo	6	3	0	3	-4	9
15	Udinese	6	2	2	2	+0	8
16	Chievo	6	2	2	2	+0	8
17	Empoli	6	1	2	3	-5	5
18	Crotone	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Pescara	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	Palermo	6	0	0	6	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	6	4	0	2	+4	12
2	Atalanta	6	3	1	2	+2	10
3	Milan	6	3	1	2	-1	10
4	Lazio	6	2	3	1	+2	9
5	Napoli	6	2	2	2	+2	8
6	Roma	6	2	2	2	+1	8
7	Fiorentina	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Chievo	6	2	1	3	-2	7
9	Udinese	6	2	1	3	-3	7
10	Inter	6	2	0	4	-2	6
11	Palermo	6	1	3	2	-3	6
12	Genoa	5	2	0	3	-3	6
13	Torino	6	1	2	3	+0	5
14	Empoli	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	Sampdoria	7	1	2	4	-6	5
16	Pescara	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Sassuolo	6	1	1	4	-4	4
18	Bologna	5	0	3	2	-6	3
19	Cagliari	6	1	0	5	-13	3
20	Crotone	7	0	1	6	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.