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Eliteserien

Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen

Lillestrom

T S S U U

1–0

Full-time

Molde

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Molde

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 35%

24%

45%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

62%

55%

Both score Ø 64%

79%

48%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

21 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 12. · Molde 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	29	20	6	3	+39	66
2	Brann	29	15	6	8	+14	51
3	Odd	29	15	6	8	+11	51
4	Molde	29	13	6	10	+7	45
5	Haugesund	29	12	9	8	+4	45
6	Sarpsborg 08	29	12	9	8	-1	45
7	Stromsgodset	29	12	7	10	+4	43
8	Viking	29	12	7	10	+0	43
9	Aalesund	29	11	6	12	-7	39
10	Sogndal	29	8	12	9	-2	36
11	Valerenga	29	9	8	12	+0	35
12	Lillestrom	29	7	10	12	-6	31
13	Tromso	29	8	7	14	-12	31
14	Bodo/Glimt	29	8	6	15	-8	30
15	Stabaek	29	7	7	15	-10	28
16	Start	29	2	10	17	-33	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	14	13	0	1	+30	39
2	Brann	14	10	3	1	+17	33
3	Stromsgodset	15	9	5	1	+15	32
4	Haugesund	14	8	5	1	+13	29
5	Molde	15	8	4	3	+13	28
6	Odd	15	8	3	4	+8	27
7	Sarpsborg 08	15	7	5	3	+8	26
8	Aalesund	15	6	5	4	+6	23
9	Valerenga	15	5	5	5	+6	20
10	Sogndal	14	4	7	3	+3	19
11	Viking	14	5	4	5	+1	19
12	Tromso	14	5	3	6	-2	18
13	Bodo/Glimt	15	5	3	7	-3	18
14	Lillestrom	14	4	4	6	+1	16
15	Stabaek	14	4	1	9	-6	13
16	Start	15	2	4	9	-19	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	15	7	6	2	+9	27
2	Odd	14	7	3	4	+3	24
3	Viking	15	7	3	5	-1	24
4	Sarpsborg 08	14	5	4	5	-9	19
5	Brann	15	5	3	7	-3	18
6	Sogndal	15	4	5	6	-5	17
7	Molde	14	5	2	7	-6	17
8	Haugesund	15	4	4	7	-9	16
9	Aalesund	14	5	1	8	-13	16
10	Stabaek	15	3	6	6	-4	15
11	Valerenga	14	4	3	7	-6	15
12	Lillestrom	15	3	6	6	-7	15
13	Tromso	15	3	4	8	-10	13
14	Bodo/Glimt	14	3	3	8	-5	12
15	Stromsgodset	14	3	2	9	-11	11
16	Start	14	0	6	8	-14	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.