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Europa League
Referee: A Stavrev
Union Berlin
T S T S S
1–0
Full-time
Malmo FF
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Europa League · 3/7 matches
Win Ø 38%
33%
43%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
0%
57%
Both score Ø 22%
0%
43%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
0,3
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
14 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 2
5 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Oct -22 Malmo FF – Union Berlin 0–1

Match report

Union Berlin Malmo FF
Janik Haberer 🟨
8′
14′
🟨 Isaac Kiese Thelin
Christopher Trimmel 🟨
29′
36′
🟨 Sergio Peña
37′
🔁 E. Rakip
↦ J. Inge Berget
Half-time 0–0
Robin Knoche 🟨
61′
Rani Khedira 🟨
63′
M. Thorsby 🔁
↦ G. Haraguchi
67′
S. Michel 🔁
↦ J. Siebatcheu
67′
Morten Thorsby ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
71′
Morten Thorsby 🟨
72′
76′
🟨 Martin Olsson
81′
🔁 E. Lomotey
↦ O. Lewicki
84′
🟨 Jonas Knudsen
84′
🔁 J. Knudsen
↦ M. Olsson
K. Behrens 🔁
↦ J. Haberer
85′
87′
🟨 Anders Christiansen
87′
🟨 Emmanuel Lomotey
1–0 R. Knoche ⚽
89′
91′
ℹ️ Emmanuel Lomotey
VAR: Card upgrade
92′
🟥 Emmanuel Lomotey
N. Gießelmann 🔁
↦ S. Becker
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Union Berlin

3-5-2
1 F. Rønnow G
3 P. Jaeckel D
31 R. Knoche D
4 Diogo Leite D
28 C. Trimmel M
24 G. Haraguchi M
8 R. Khedira M
19 J. Haberer M
6 J. Ryerson M
27 S. Becker F
45 J. Siebatcheu F
Bench (12)
2 M. Thorsby
11 S. Michel
17 K. Behrens
23 N. Gießelmann
40 J. Leweling
36 A. Kemlein
16 T. Maciejewski
37 L. Grill
39 Y. Stein
5 D. Doekhi
21 T. Skarke
26 T. Puchacz

Coach: U. Fischer

Malmo FF

3-4-3
30 I. Diawara G
14 F. Beijmo D
21 D. Hadžikadunić D
6 O. Lewicki D
15 J. Ceesay M
31 H. Larsson M
8 S. Peña M
13 M. Olsson M
32 J. Inge Berget F
9 I. Kiese Thelin F
10 A. Christiansen F
Bench (11)
7 E. Rakip
40 E. Lomotey
3 J. Knudsen
39 V. Andersson
33 Mohamed Turay
11 O. Toivonen
36 P. Sejdiu
18 R. Gall
23 M. Chaluš
20 M. Zeidan
27 J. Dahlin

Coach: Å. Hareide

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Stavrev · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.