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Conference League
Referee: G Kabakov
0–1
Full-time
Villarreal
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — Conference League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
67%
80%
Both score Ø 47%
33%
60%
Average goals
3,3
4,6
Scored
0,3
3,4
Conceded
3,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,7
+2,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
7 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 3
5 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Austria Vienna Villarreal
Reinhold Ranftl 🟨
26′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Pau Torres
↦ Raúl Albiol
56′
🔁 José Luis Morales
↦ F. Coquelin
56′
🔁 N. Jackson
↦ A. Danjuma
C. Keles 🔁
↦ A. Gruber
65′
J. Holland 🔁
↦ A. Jukić
65′
Manuel Polster 🟨
67′
67′
🟨 Giovani Lo Celso
68′
🔁 Yeremy Pino
↦ S. Chukwueze
79′
🟨 Nicolas Jackson
79′
🔁 É. Capoue
↦ G. Lo Celso
I. Dramé 🔁
↦ D. Fitz
82′
86′
🟨 Manuel Morlanes
87′
N. Jackson 0–1
José Luis Morales
H. Tabaković 🔁
↦ G. Teigl
90′
91′
🟨 Alejandro Baena
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Austria Vienna

5-3-2
1 C. Früchtl G
39 G. Teigl D
26 R. Ranftl D
3 Lucas Galvão D
40 M. Meisl D
11 M. Polster D
23 M. Braunöder M
30 M. Fischer M
36 D. Fitz M
17 A. Gruber F
77 A. Jukić F
Bench (10)
7 C. Keles
8 J. Holland
44 I. Dramé
25 H. Tabaković
47 D. Kreiker
27 R. Vučić
99 M. Kos
13 L. Wedl
89 B. Koumetio
5 M. Baltaxa

Coach: M. Schmid

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Pepe Reina G
23 A. Mandi D
3 Raúl Albiol D
5 Jorge Cuenca D
12 J. Mojica D
16 Álex Baena M
19 F. Coquelin M
20 Manu Morlanes M
11 S. Chukwueze M
9 A. Danjuma F
17 G. Lo Celso F
Bench (11)
4 Pau Torres
22 José Luis Morales
15 N. Jackson
21 Yeremy Pino
6 É. Capoue
31 Iker Álvarez
13 G. Rulli
10 Dani Parejo
18 Alberto Moreno
24 Pedraza
14 Manu Trigueros

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Kabakov · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.