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Conference League
Referee: J Xhaja
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Pyunik Yerevan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,0
2,7
Scored
0,0
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
17 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Pyunik Yerevan
1–0 F. Ourega
M. Oyewusi
23′
2–0 Renan Oliveira
M. Oyewusi
42′
Fabien Ourega 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–0
65′
🔁 A. Karapetyan
↦ L. Juričić
65′
🔁 D. Diop
↦ Y. Otubanjo
71′
🔁 A. Özbiliz
↦ A. González
74′
🟨 Sergiy Vakulenko
Nemanja Ljubisavljević 🟨
77′
78′
A. Özbiliz 2–1
D. Kazlauskas 🔁
↦ M. Oyewusi
82′
M. Milićković 🔁
↦ F. Kyeremeh
83′
85′
🔁 S. Spirovski
↦ N. Baranov
G. Jarusevičius 🔁
↦ F. Ourega
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

4-4-2
1 E. Gertmonas G
12 P. Mamić D
3 M. Pavelić D
26 N. Ljubisavljević D
7 J. Bopesu D
77 F. Kyeremeh M
5 N. Gorobsov M
23 O. Buff M
92 F. Ourega M
99 M. Oyewusi F
10 Renan Oliveira F
Bench (12)
9 D. Kazlauskas
33 M. Milićković
96 G. Jarusevičius
4 K. Kažukolovas
81 M. Mikulenas
24 M. Burba
13 S. Mikoliūnas
22 O. Verbickas
15 I. Tatomirović
6 D. Kashken
27 J. Tadić
25 T. Duka

Coach: V. Cheburin

Pyunik Yerevan

5-3-2
1 D. Yurchenko G
30 A. González D
27 N. Baranov D
79 S. Vakulenko D
95 A. Bratkov D
6 Juninho D
11 H. Harutyunyan M
29 E. Cociuc M
9 A. Dashyan M
14 Y. Otubanjo F
2 L. Juričić F
Bench (10)
87 A. Karapetyan
77 D. Diop
23 A. Özbiliz
10 S. Spirovski
17 R. Karasyuk
19 G. Petrosyan
71 S. Buchnev
21 A. Avagyan
88 Y. Gareginyan
32 S. Mikayelyan

Coach: E. Melikyan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Xhaja · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.