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Bundesliga

Referee: R Schröder

Union Berlin

S U T S T

2–0

Full-time

Wolfsburg

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Wolfsburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

16 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Union Berlin 2. · Wolfsburg 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	7	5	0	2	+2	15
2	Union Berlin	6	4	2	0	+9	14
3	Freiburg	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Bayern Munich	7	3	3	1	+13	12
5	Hoffenheim	6	4	0	2	+5	12
6	M'gladbach	7	3	3	1	+5	12
7	Ein Frankfurt	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	Mainz	7	3	2	2	-3	11
9	FC Koln	6	2	3	1	+3	9
10	Werder Bremen	7	2	3	2	+1	9
11	Augsburg	7	3	0	4	-5	9
12	RB Leipzig	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Hertha	7	1	3	3	-2	6
14	Schalke 04	7	1	3	3	-6	6
15	Leverkusen	7	1	2	4	-3	5
16	Stuttgart	7	0	5	2	-3	5
17	Wolfsburg	6	1	2	3	-5	5
18	Bochum	6	0	0	6	-14	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	M'gladbach	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	RB Leipzig	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Union Berlin	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Bayern Munich	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	FC Koln	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Freiburg	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	-3	4
11	Augsburg	4	1	0	3	-6	3
12	Hertha	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Wolfsburg	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Stuttgart	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Mainz	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	Werder Bremen	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Leverkusen	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Bochum	3	0	0	3	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Freiburg	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Mainz	4	3	0	1	+0	9
3	Werder Bremen	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Bayern Munich	4	2	1	1	+11	7
5	Union Berlin	3	2	1	0	+6	7
6	Ein Frankfurt	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Augsburg	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Dortmund	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	FC Koln	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Leverkusen	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Hertha	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Stuttgart	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	M'gladbach	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Wolfsburg	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Schalke 04	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	RB Leipzig	4	0	1	3	-8	1
18	Bochum	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.