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Europa League
Referee: H Osmers
FK Crvena Zvezda
S S T U
0–1
Full-time
Monaco
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Crvena Zvezda Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
2,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FK Crvena Zvezda Monaco
Aleksandar Dragović 🟨
7′
18′
🟨 Benoît Badiashile
43′
🟨 Takumi Minamino
Aleksandar Pešić 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
E. Fardou Ben Mohamed 🔁
↦ A. Pešić
54′
57′
🔁 Jean Lucas
↦ Y. Fofana
57′
🔁 K. Diatta
↦ T. Minamino
66′
🔁 B. Embolo
↦ W. Ben Yedder
69′
🟨 Aleksandr Golovin
74′
⚽ B. Embolo 0–1
V. Nikolić 🔁
↦ S. Srnić
76′
83′
🔁 I. Jakobs
↦ A. Golovin
S. Mitrović 🔁
↦ S. Sanogo
87′
K. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ A. Katai
87′
Nemanja Milunović 🟨
89′
90′
ℹ️ Breel Embolo
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda

3-4-2-1
82 M. Borjan G
25 S. Eraković D
19 N. Milunović D
15 A. Dragović D
55 S. Srnić M
8 G. Kanga M
35 S. Sanogo M
23 M. Rodić M
11 O. Bukari F
10 A. Katai F
72 A. Pešić F
Bench (12)
31 E. Fardou Ben Mohamed
22 V. Nikolić
80 S. Mitrović
70 K. Coulibaly
77 M. Gobeljić
20 K. Kangwa
17 N. Motika
44 S. Leković
6 R. Pankov
18 I. Mustapha
27 N. Vasiljević
38 N. Stanković

Coach: M. Milojević

Monaco

3-4-3
16 A. Nübel G
6 A. Disasi D
3 G. Maripán D
5 B. Badiashile D
2 Vanderson M
4 M. Camara M
19 Y. Fofana M
12 Caio Henrique M
18 T. Minamino F
10 W. Ben Yedder F
17 A. Golovin F
Bench (12)
11 Jean Lucas
27 K. Diatta
36 B. Embolo
14 I. Jakobs
21 M. Akliouche
41 S. Magassa
15 E. Matazo
23 M. Sarr
77 Gelson Martins
26 R. Aguilar
30 T. Didillon
99 Y. Okou

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.