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Europa League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Freiburg
S T S S S
2–1
Full-time
Qarabag
U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Freiburg Qarabag
Matthias Ginter ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
5′
6′
🟨 Toral Bayramov
1–0 V. Grifo ⚽
7′
2–0 R. Dōan ⚽
M. Eggestein
15′
39′
⚽ M. Vešović 2–1
O. Kwabena
Half-time 2–1
Vincenzo Grifo 🟨
47′
Ritsu Doan 🟨
51′
M. Gregoritsch 🔁
↦ N. Petersen
71′
D. Kyereh 🔁
↦ V. Grifo
71′
76′
🔁 Júlio Romão
↦ R. Şeydayev
77′
🔁 R. Almeyda
↦ Q. Qarayev
82′
🟨 Abdellah Zoubir
84′
🔁 Leandro Andrade
↦ M. Janković
N. Weißhaupt 🔁
↦ Jeong Woo-Yeong
88′
92′
🔁 E. Cəfərquliyev
↦ T. Bayramov
Y. Keitel 🔁
↦ R. Dōan
93′
94′
🟨 Owusu Kwabena
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-4-2
26 M. Flekken G
25 K. Sildillia D
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
30 C. Günter D
42 R. Dōan M
8 M. Eggestein M
27 N. Höfler M
32 V. Grifo M
29 Jeong Woo-Yeong F
18 N. Petersen F
Bench (12)
38 M. Gregoritsch
11 D. Kyereh
33 N. Weißhaupt
14 Y. Keitel
23 R. Wagner
31 K. Schlotterbeck
21 N. Atubolu
34 M. Röhl
7 J. Schmid
2 H. Siquet
1 B. Uphoff
17 L. Kübler

Coach: C. Streich

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
1 Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev G
29 M. Vešović D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
55 B. Hüseynov D
27 T. Bayramov D
2 Q. Qarayev M
8 M. Janković M
77 R. Şeydayev M
20 Kady M
10 A. Zoubir M
11 O. Kwabena F
Bench (12)
6 Júlio Romão
7 R. Almeyda
15 Leandro Andrade
44 E. Cəfərquliyev
90 N. Axundzadə
18 İ. İbrahimli
30 A. Hüseynov
22 M. Qurbanlı
89 A. Ramazanov
5 M. Medvedev
19 F. Ozobić
23 L. Gugeshashvili

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.