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Coppa Italia

Referee: M Fabbri

Roma

U S S S T

1–2

Full-time

Cremonese

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Cremonese

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,8

This season — Coppa Italia · 1/3 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

5,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%

18 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 0

3 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 18. · Cremonese 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Torino	4	3	0	1	+7	9
2	Cremonese	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Bari	3	2	0	1	+5	6
4	Spezia	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Parma	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Fiorentina	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Inter	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Modena	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Monza	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Bologna	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
16	FeralpiSalo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
17	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Palermo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	-3	3
25	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Reggina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Verona	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Padova	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Como	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Torino	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Spezia	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Modena	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Fiorentina	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Inter	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Bologna	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Sampdoria	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Bari	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Monza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Parma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Verona	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Bari	2	1	0	1	+2	3
3	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
4	FeralpiSalo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Parma	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Monza	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	-3	3
10	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Reggina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Modena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Padova	1	0	0	1	-3	0
29	Como	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.