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Europa League
Referee: F Letexier
Sevilla
S U T T T
2–0
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/10 matches
Win Ø 60%
50%
70%
Points per game
1,5
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 30%
0%
60%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,66 xG 1,13
53% Possession 47%
9 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 1
6 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sevilla Fenerbahce
Alex Telles 🟨
3′
Half-time 0–0
Joan Jordán 🔁
↦ Alex Telles
46′
Bryan Gil 🟨
48′
48′
🟨 Ferdi Kadıoğlu
1–0 Joan Jordán ⚽
56′
67′
🔁 D. Rossi
↦ Miguel Crespo
67′
🔁 M. Batshuayi
↦ J. King
E. Lamela 🔁
↦ Bryan Gil
70′
L. Ocampos 🔁
↦ Óliver Torres
70′
82′
🔁 B. Osayi-Samuel
↦ Lincoln
82′
🔁 João Pedro
↦ E. Valencia
2–0 E. Lamela ⚽
I. Rakitić
85′
Rafa Mir 🔁
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
87′
Suso 🔁
↦ M. Acuña
87′
87′
🔁 A. Güler
↦ İ. Kahveci
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sevilla

3-4-2-1
1 M. Dmitrović G
14 T. Nianzou D
6 N. Gudelj D
3 Alex Telles D
16 Jesús Navas M
20 Fernando M
10 I. Rakitić M
19 M. Acuña M
21 Óliver Torres F
25 Bryan Gil F
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (9)
8 Joan Jordán
17 E. Lamela
55 L. Ocampos
12 Rafa Mir
7 Suso
13 Y. Bounou
43 Manu Bueno
2 G. Montiel
31 Alberto Flores

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Fenerbahce

5-3-2
1 A. Bayındır G
7 F. Kadıoğlu D
4 S. Aziz D
3 S. Akaydin D
41 A. Szalai D
18 Lincoln D
17 İ. Kahveci M
5 Willian Arão M
27 Miguel Crespo M
13 E. Valencia F
15 J. King F
Bench (12)
9 D. Rossi
23 M. Batshuayi
21 B. Osayi-Samuel
20 João Pedro
10 A. Güler
99 E. Mor
8 M. Yandaş
70 İ. Eğribayat
26 M. Zajc
54 E. Çetin
80 İ. Yüksek
24 J. Oosterwolde

Coach: Jorge Jesus

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.