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Europa League
Referee: D Siebert
Man United
S S S S T
4–1
Full-time
Betis
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,8
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 8/6 matches
Win Ø 79%
75%
83%
Points per game
2,4
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,19 xG 0,51
57% Possession 43%
25 Shots 6
13 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 9
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Man United Betis
1–0 M. Rashford ⚽
6′
32′
⚽ Ayoze Pérez 1–1
Juanmi
Half-time 1–1
A. Wan-Bissaka 🔁
↦ Diogo Dalot
46′
2–1 Antony ⚽
Bruno Fernandes
52′
Wout Weghorst 🟨
56′
3–1 Bruno Fernandes ⚽
L. Shaw
58′
59′
🔁 Sergio Canales
↦ Joaquín
59′
🔁 Aitor Ruibal
↦ Luiz Henrique
J. Sancho 🔁
↦ M. Rashford
65′
T. Malacia 🔁
↦ L. Shaw
65′
65′
🔁 A. Guardado
↦ G. Rodríguez
65′
🔁 Borja Iglesias
↦ Ayoze Pérez
Bruno Fernandes 🟨
68′
80′
🔁 Willian José
↦ Juanmi
S. McTominay 🔁
↦ Fred
81′
F. Pellistri 🔁
↦ Antony
82′
4–1 W. Weghorst ⚽
82′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Man United

4-2-3-1
1 David de Gea G
20 Diogo Dalot D
19 R. Varane D
6 Lisandro Martínez D
23 L. Shaw D
18 Casemiro M
17 Fred M
21 Antony M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
10 M. Rashford M
27 W. Weghorst F
Bench (12)
29 A. Wan-Bissaka
25 J. Sancho
12 T. Malacia
39 S. McTominay
28 F. Pellistri
22 T. Heaton
5 H. Maguire
73 K. Mainoo
49 A. Garnacho
36 A. Elanga
31 J. Butland
2 V. Lindelöf

Coach: E. ten Hag

Betis

4-2-3-1
1 C. Bravo G
23 Y. Sabaly D
16 G. Pezzella D
19 Luiz Felipe D
20 Abner D
5 G. Rodríguez M
14 William Carvalho M
11 Luiz Henrique M
17 Joaquín M
7 Juanmi M
21 Ayoze Pérez F
Bench (12)
10 Sergio Canales
24 Aitor Ruibal
18 A. Guardado
9 Borja Iglesias
12 Willian José
3 Edgar González
6 Víctor Ruiz
13 Rui Silva
37 Dani Pérez
28 Rodri
25 Dani Martín
33 Juan Miranda

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.