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Conference League
Referee: S Frappart
Lech Poznan
U T S T S
2–0
Full-time
Djurgarden
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Djurgarden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
This season — Conference League · 14/12 matches
Win Ø 63%
43%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
36%
67%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
58%
Average goals
2,6
3,3
Scored
1,9
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,85 xG 0,71
65% Possession 35%
13 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lech Poznan Djurgarden
-5′
🟨 Victor Kaj Edvardsen
1–0 A. Milić ⚽
Joel Pereira
39′
Half-time 1–0
49′
🟨 Carlos Moros Gracia
Radosław Murawski 🟨
60′
Mikael Ishak 🟨
67′
69′
🔁 H. Finndell
↦ B. Šabović
A. Ba Loua 🔁
↦ Afonso Sousa
72′
F. Marchwiński 🔁
↦ F. Szymczak
76′
77′
🔁 J. Löfgren
↦ Carlos Moros
2–0 F. Marchwiński ⚽
A. Ba Loua
82′
83′
🔁 J. Bergström
↦ V. Edvardsen
84′
🔁 H. Radetinac
↦ J. Asoro
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
35 F. Bednarek G
2 Joel Pereira D
25 F. Dagerstål D
16 A. Milić D
5 Pedro Rebocho D
6 J. Karlström M
22 R. Murawski M
21 M. Skóraś M
7 Afonso Sousa M
17 F. Szymczak M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (11)
50 A. Ba Loua
11 F. Marchwiński
77 D. Holec
90 A. Sobiech
14 G. Tsitaishvili
44 A. Czerwiński
37 Ľ. Šatka
18 B. Salamon
24 João Amaral
30 N. Kvekveskiri
3 B. Douglas

Coach: J. van den Brom

Djurgarden

4-3-3
35 J. Zetterström G
2 P. Johansson D
17 Carlos Moros D
3 M. Danielson D
19 P. Bengtsson D
7 M. Eriksson M
14 B. Šabović M
11 O. Berg M
10 J. Asoro F
16 V. Edvardsen F
23 G. Wikheim F
Bench (8)
13 H. Finndell
4 J. Löfgren
18 J. Bergström
9 H. Radetinac
45 M. Croon
40 A. Picornell
31 G. Granström
8 E. Andersson

Coach: K. Bergstrand

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.