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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
St. Gilloise
S U U T S
5–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

16 Shots 4
9 Shots on target 1
0 Corners 3
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gilloise 9. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 RWD Molenbeek 3 2 0 1 -2 -1.5 6
2 Eupen 2 1 1 0 +1 -2.7 4
3 Club Brugge 2 1 1 0 +1 +3.5 4
4 Antwerp 1 1 0 0 +6 3
5 Genk 2 1 0 1 +3 +4.1 3
6 Cercle Brugge 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.6 3
7 Gent 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.2 3
8 St Truiden 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
9 St. Gilloise 1 1 0 0 +1 +2.5 3
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.0 1
11 Westerlo 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.0 1
12 Mechelen 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.3 1
13 Charleroi 2 0 1 1 -2 -2.7 1
14 Standard 1 0 0 1 -1 -2.5 0
15 Kortrijk 3 0 0 3 -8 -0.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gilloise Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1–0 C. Terho
D. Eckert Ayensa
21′
2–0 Cameron Puertas
L. Amani
34′
39′
J. Þorsteinsson 2–1
F. Miguel
44′
🟨 E. Banzuzi
Half-time 2–1
53′
🟨 J. Dom
C. Burgess 🟨
60′
61′
🟨 S. Kiyine
3–1 D. Eckert Ayensa
65′
74′
🔁 N. Nsingi
↦ N. Opoku
4–1 D. Eckert Ayensa
74′
75′
🔁 K. N’Dri
↦ E. Banzuzi
E. Kabangu 🔁
↦ M. Rasmussen
76′
G. Nilsson 🔁
↦ D. Eckert Ayensa
76′
81′
🔁 M. Maertens
↦ S. Kiyine
N. Sadiki 🔁
↦ L. Amani
85′
G. Nilsson ℹ️
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
86′
G. François 🔁
↦ C. Terho
89′
N. Huygevelde 🔁
↦ Cameron Puertas
89′
90′
🔁 R. Sagrado
↦ F. Miguel
90′
🔁 J. Schingtienne
↦ S. Schrijvers
97′
🟨 H. Mendyl
5–1 G. Nilsson
98′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

49 A. Moris
16 C. Burgess
28 K. Machida
5 K. Mac Allister
4 M. Rasmussen
8 L. Amani
23 Cameron Puertas
24 C. Vanhoutte
9 D. Eckert Ayensa
10 L. Lapoussin
17 C. Terho
Bench (7)
7 E. Kabangu
29 G. Nilsson
27 N. Sadiki
19 G. François
35 N. Huygevelde
48 F. Leysen
14 J. Imbrechts

Coach: A. Blessin

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

12 V. Cojocaru
6 J. Dom
14 F. Ricca
18 F. Miguel
20 H. Mendyl
28 E. Pletinckx
8 S. Schrijvers
13 S. Kiyine
11 E. Banzuzi
7 J. Þorsteinsson
21 N. Opoku
Bench (7)
43 N. Nsingi
15 K. N’Dri
33 M. Maertens
52 R. Sagrado
23 J. Schingtienne
10 R. Holzhauser
38 O. Ravet

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,47
U
4,61
B
6,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,43
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.