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Super League

Referee: M Turkes

Lugano

S S S S T

6–1

Full-time

Yverdon

T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Yverdon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

This season — Super League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

2,55 xG 0,66

62% Possession 38%

17 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lugano 5. · Yverdon 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	4	3	1	0	+8	–	10
2	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.3	7
3	St. Gallen	4	2	1	1	+1	+1.2	7
4	Servette	4	1	3	0	+2	-2.3	6
5	Lugano	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.7	6
6	Luzern	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.3	4
7	Lausanne	4	1	1	2	-1	+2.8	4
8	Yverdon	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.1	4
9	Grasshoppers	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.0	4
10	Winterthur	4	1	1	2	-4	-2.1	4
11	Basel	4	1	0	3	-1	+0.1	3
12	Lausanne Ouchy	4	0	1	3	-7	+0.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
2	Young Boys	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.1	6
3	St. Gallen	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
4	Winterthur	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.3	4
5	Basel	2	1	0	1	+2	+0.1	3
6	Luzern	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
7	Lugano	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
8	Grasshoppers	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
9	Servette	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.6	2
10	Yverdon	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
11	Lausanne	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.5	1
12	Lausanne Ouchy	3	0	1	2	-6	+0.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	2	1	1	0	+3	–	4
2	Servette	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.6	4
3	Lausanne	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.3	3
4	Lugano	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
5	Yverdon	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.8	3
6	Young Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
7	Luzern	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
8	St. Gallen	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.2	1
9	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.0	1
10	Lausanne Ouchy	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
11	Basel	2	0	0	2	-3	–	0
12	Winterthur	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.