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Pro League

Referee: W Smet

Mechelen

U S T U T

4–0

Full-time

St. Gilloise

U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen St. Gilloise

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,0

This season — Pro League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

3,5

Scored

0,5

3,0

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,88 xG 0,59

46% Possession 54%

10 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 1

0 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 6

4 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 14. · St. Gilloise 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+6	+5.5	7
2	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.5	6
3	Cercle Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.2	6
4	RWD Molenbeek	3	2	0	1	-2	-1.5	6
5	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+6	-0.0	4
6	Eupen	3	1	1	1	-4	-4.7	4
7	Genk	2	1	0	1	+3	+4.1	3
8	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
9	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
10	St Truiden	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.7	3
11	Charleroi	3	0	2	1	-2	-1.7	2
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	0	2	2	-5	+0.0	2
13	Westerlo	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
14	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
15	Standard	3	0	1	2	-2	-4.0	1
16	Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	-8	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+6	–	3
2	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
3	Cercle Brugge	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
4	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	RWD Molenbeek	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.6	3
6	Charleroi	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
7	Club Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.1	1
9	Eupen	2	0	1	1	-5	-3.2	1
10	Genk	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.5	0
11	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
12	St Truiden	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
13	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0
14	Standard	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+6	+4.2	6
2	Genk	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
3	RWD Molenbeek	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
4	Eupen	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.5	3
5	St Truiden	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
6	Cercle Brugge	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
7	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.5	3
8	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
9	Westerlo	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
10	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.0	1
11	Antwerp	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
12	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	1	1	-4	+1.1	1
14	Charleroi	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.6	0
15	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-7	-0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.