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Europa League
Referee: Georgi Kabakov
Besiktas
S S U T S
2–4
Full-time
Shakhtar Donetsk
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Shakhtar Donetsk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
2,7
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Besiktas Shakhtar Donetsk
7′
⚽ Alisson 0–1
28′
⚽ Eguinaldo 0–2
Alisson
1–2 T. Abraham ⚽
40′
Half-time 1–2
56′
🔁 V. Tobias
↦ Y. Konoplya
56′
🔁 Pedrinho
↦ Marlon Gomes
K. Kayra Yilmaz 🔁
↦ M. Rashica
60′
E. Muci 🔁
↦ O. Kokcu
60′
67′
⚽ Kevin 1–3
Alisson
Joao Mario 🔁
↦ T. Abraham
71′
76′
🔁 A. Bondarenko
↦ Alisson
76′
🔁 Newerton
↦ Eguinaldo
Felix Uduokhai 🟨
79′
S. Kilicsoy 🔁
↦ D. E. Tiknaz
81′
2–3 Joao Mario ⚽
87′
88′
🔁 G. Gocholeishvili
↦ G. Sudakov
90′
⚽ Kevin 2–4
A. Bondarenko
Kartal Kayra Yılmaz 🟨
91′
Mert Günok 🟨
92′
93′
🟨 Dmytro Riznyk
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
1 M. Gunok G
2 J. Svensson D
3 Gabriel Paulista D
14 F. Uduokhai D
39 D. Jurasek D
5 D. E. Tiknaz M
10 O. Kokcu M
7 M. Rashica M
27 Rafa Silva M
83 G. Fernandes M
9 T. Abraham F
Bench (12)
30 E. Destanoglu
6 A. Hadziahmetovic
8 S. Ucan
11 K. Arroyo
17 K. Kayra Yilmaz
18 Joao Mario
23 E. Muci
24 T. T. Sanuc
53 E. Topcu
75 T. Bingol
79 E. Terzi
90 S. Kilicsoy

Coach: Ali Rıza Sergen Yalçın

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
31 D. Riznyk G
26 Y. Konoplya D
5 V. Bondar D
22 M. Matviienko D
13 P. Henrique D
6 Marlon Gomes M
30 Alisson M
27 O. Ocheretko M
10 G. Sudakov M
11 Kevin M
7 Eguinaldo F
Bench (12)
23 K. Fesyun
2 L. Traore
9 M. Shved
12 G. Gocholeishvili
16 I. Azarovi
17 V. Tobias
18 A. Ghram
19 Kaua Elias
21 A. Bondarenko
29 Y. Nazaryna
38 Pedrinho
39 Newerton

Coach: Arda Turan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.