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Super League
Referee: M Gioumatzidis
PAOK
S U T S S
3–0
Full-time
OFI Crete
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 17/16 matches
Win Ø 57%
76%
38%
Points per game
2,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
65%
81%
Both score Ø 40%
41%
38%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
2,2
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

59% Possession 41%
13 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 0
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 3. · OFI Crete 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 18 13 4 1 +26 43
2 AEK 18 13 3 2 +16 42
3 PAOK 17 13 2 2 +24 41
4 Levadeiakos 17 9 5 3 +21 32
5 Panathinaikos 16 7 5 4 +7 26
6 Volos NFC 17 8 1 8 -4 25
7 Aris Thessalonikis 17 5 6 6 -4 21
8 Aris 17 5 6 6 -4 21
9 Kifisia 18 4 7 7 -3 19
10 OFI Crete 16 6 0 10 -5 18
11 Panetolikos 17 5 3 9 -11 18
12 Larisa 19 3 7 9 -13 16
13 Asteras Tripolis 18 2 8 8 -9 14
14 Atromitos 17 3 4 10 -9 13
15 Panserraikos 18 2 3 13 -32 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK OFI Crete
12′
🟨 Giannis Apostolakis
1–0 D. Pelkas
18′
M. Camara 🔁
↦ S. Meite
27′
38′
🟨 Konstantinos Kostoulas
2–0 Taison
D. Chatsidis
40′
3–0 G. Giakoumakis
D. Chatsidis
43′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 G. Christopoulos
↦ K. Kostoulas
69′
🔁 P. Kenourgiakis
↦ I. Chatzitheodoridis
69′
🔁 I. Theodosoulakis
↦ A. Leya Iseka
A. Bianco 🔁
↦ D. Pelkas
72′
A. Mythou 🔁
↦ G. Giakoumakis
72′
Christos Zafeiris 🟨
75′
77′
🟨 Pavlos Kenourgiakis
82′
🔁 J. Neira
↦ L. Shengelia
J. Sastre 🔁
↦ C. Zafeiris
88′
A. Jeremejeff 🔁
↦ D. Chatsidis
88′
91′
🔁 E. Chnaris
↦ I. Apostolakis
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
99 A. Tsiftsis G
3 J. Kenny D
4 A. Vogliacco D
5 G. Michailidis D
32 G. Taylor D
8 S. Meite M
20 C. Zafeiris M
52 D. Chatsidis M
10 D. Pelkas M
11 Taison M
7 G. Giakoumakis F
Bench (12)
88 L. Gugeshashvili
41 D. Monastirlis
23 J. Sastre
21 A. R. Baba
6 D. Lovren
16 T. Kedziora
22 A. Bianco
2 M. Camara
39 D. Berdos
14 A. Zivkovic
19 A. Jeremejeff
56 A. Mythou

Coach: Razvan Lucescu

OFI Crete

3-4-2-1
31 N. Christogeorgos G
5 K. Kostoulas D
15 A. Poungouras D
2 K. Krizmanic D
4 N. Marinakis M
6 Z. Karachalios M
21 I. Apostolakis M
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis M
27 L. Shengelia F
9 E. Salcedo F
99 A. Leya Iseka F
Bench (11)
1 K. Lilo
13 P. Katsikas
90 P. Kenourgiakis
22 G. Christopoulos
52 K. Lagoudakis
8 I. Vukotic
25 F. Bainovic
91 E. Chnaris
83 C. Tsalpatouros
10 J. Neira
46 I. Theodosoulakis

Coach: Christos Kontis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,12
U
7,50
B
15,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,39
U2,5
2,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.