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Europa League
Referee: Donatas Rumsas
Stuttgart
S U T S U
1–2
Full-time
Porto
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Porto
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,2
Scored
2,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 10/8 matches
Win Ø 62%
60%
63%
Points per game
1,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
40%
63%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,63 xG 0,94
60% Possession 40%
14 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
1 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Stuttgart Porto
21′
⚽ T. Moffi 0–1
B. Sainz
27′
⚽ R. Mora 0–2
Zaidu
1–2 D. Undav ⚽
B. El Khannouss
40′
Half-time 1–2
48′
🟨 William Gomes
Finn Jeltsch 🟨
48′
59′
🔁 D. Gul
↦ T. Moffi
59′
🔁 Pepê
↦ B. Sainz
59′
🔁 V. Froholdt
↦ R. Mora
T. Tomas 🔁
↦ E. Demirovic
63′
65′
🟨 Thiago Silva
C. Fuhrich 🔁
↦ N. Nartey
70′
L. Jaquez 🔁
↦ F. Jeltsch
70′
70′
🔁 G. Veiga
↦ William Gomes
Angelo Stiller ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
72′
80′
🔁 A. Varela
↦ S. Fofana
M. Mittelstadt 🔁
↦ A. Karazor
84′
85′
🟨 Alan Varela
Bilal El Khannouss 🟨
93′
94′
🟨 Zaidu Sanusi
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Stuttgart

4-2-3-1
33 A. Nubel G
28 N. Nartey D
29 F. Jeltsch D
24 J. Chabot D
3 R. Hendriks D
16 A. Karazor M
6 A. Stiller M
11 B. El Khannouss M
26 D. Undav M
18 J. Leweling M
9 E. Demirovic F
Bench (10)
1 F. Bredlow
44 F. Hellstern
7 M. Mittelstadt
2 A. Al Dakhil
27 B. Bouanani
30 C. Andres
10 C. Fuhrich
8 T. Tomas
22 L. Assignon
14 L. Jaquez

Coach: Sebastian Hoeness

Porto

4-3-3
99 D. Costa G
20 A. Costa D
3 Thiago Silva D
5 J. Bednarek D
12 Zaidu D
42 S. Fofana M
13 P. Rosario M
86 R. Mora M
7 William Gomes F
29 T. Moffi F
17 B. Sainz F
Bench (12)
14 Claudio Ramos
24 J. Costa
4 J. Kiwior
52 M. Fernandes
21 D. Prpic
59 T. Andrade
27 D. Gul
11 Pepê
74 F. Moura
10 G. Veiga
22 A. Varela
8 V. Froholdt

Coach: Francesco Farioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.