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Europa League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Celta
S T S T T
1–3
Full-time
Freiburg
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 13/11 matches
Win Ø 59%
54%
64%
Points per game
1,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
69%
36%
Both score Ø 53%
69%
36%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,60 xG 1,06
56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
21 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Apr -26 Freiburg – Celta 3–0

Match report

Celta Freiburg
33′
⚽ I. Matanovic 0–1
J. Makengo
35′
ℹ️ Igor Matanović
VAR: Goal confirmed
39′
⚽ Y. Suzuki 0–2
J. Beste
Ilaix Moriba 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Igor Matanović
Half-time 0–2
W. Swedberg 🔁
↦ I. Moriba
46′
J. El Abdellaoui 🔁
↦ J. Rueda
46′
I. Aspas 🔁
↦ B. Iglesias
46′
S. Carreira 🔁
↦ Y. Lago
46′
Iago Aspas 🟨
49′
Matias Vecino 🟨
49′
50′
⚽ Y. Suzuki 0–3
V. Grifo
56′
🟨 Matthias Ginter
56′
🔁 L. Holer
↦ I. Matanovic
56′
🔁 D. Scherhant
↦ V. Grifo
H. Alvarez 🔁
↦ M. Vecino
64′
71′
🔁 N. Hofler
↦ J. Manzambi
71′
🔁 B. Ogbus
↦ P. Lienhart
83′
🔁 C. Irie
↦ J. Beste
Hugo Álvarez 🟨
87′
1–3 W. Swedberg ⚽
H. Alvarez
90′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Celta

4-1-4-1
13 I. Radu G
32 J. Rodriguez D
29 Y. Lago D
20 M. Alonso D
3 O. Mingueza D
15 M. Vecino M
17 J. Rueda M
30 F. Lopez M
6 I. Moriba M
9 F. Jutgla M
7 B. Iglesias F
Bench (12)
1 I. Villar
19 W. Swedberg
39 J. El Abdellaoui
12 M. Fernandez
10 I. Aspas
21 M. Ristic
4 J. Aidoo
5 S. Carreira
14 A. Nunez
22 H. Sotelo
18 P. Duran
23 H. Alvarez

Coach: Claudio Giraldez

Freiburg

4-2-3-1
1 N. Atubolu G
29 P. Treu D
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
33 J. Makengo D
8 M. Eggestein M
44 J. Manzambi M
19 J. Beste M
14 Y. Suzuki M
32 V. Grifo M
31 I. Matanovic F
Bench (12)
21 F. Muller
24 J. Huth
27 N. Hofler
17 L. Kubler
9 L. Holer
26 M. Philipp
43 B. Ogbus
65 K. Steinmann
30 C. Gunter
5 A. Jung
7 D. Scherhant
22 C. Irie

Coach: Julian Schuster

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.