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Conference League
Referee: E Eskas
AEK
U T S S T
3–1
Full-time
Vallecano
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 15/11 matches
Win Ø 63%
53%
73%
Points per game
1,9
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
53%
73%
Both score Ø 46%
47%
45%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,78 xG 1,80
64% Possession 36%
21 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Apr -26 Vallecano – AEK 3–0

Match report

AEK Vallecano
1–0 Zini
S. Pilios
13′
19′
🟨 Ilias Akhomach
27′
🔁 Pacha
↦ A. Garcia
Barnabás Varga 🟨
30′
2–0 R. Marin
36′
44′
🟨 Unai López
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Alemao
↦ I. Akhomach
3–0 Zini
D. Kutesa
51′
55′
🔁 P. Diaz
↦ Luiz Felipe
55′
🔁 O. Valentin
↦ U. Lopez
60′
I. Palazon 3–1
P. Diaz
N. Eliasson 🔁
↦ D. Kutesa
71′
M. Gacinovic 🔁
↦ Zini
77′
80′
🔁 N. Mendy
↦ I. Palazon
R. Pereyra 🔁
↦ S. Pilios
85′
Aboubakary Koita 🟨
91′
96′
🟨 Pedro Díaz
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

AEK

4-4-2
1 T. Strakosha G
12 L. Rota D
2 H. Moukoudi D
44 F. Relvas D
3 S. Pilios D
11 A. Koita M
18 R. Marin M
13 O. Pineda M
7 D. Kutesa M
90 Zini F
25 B. Varga F
Bench (9)
91 A. Brignoli
81 A. Angelopoulos
37 R. Pereyra
19 N. Eliasson
8 M. Gacinovic
29 J. Penrice
21 D. Vida
15 M. Georgiev
17 D. Kaloskamis

Coach: Marko Nikolic

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
13 A. Batalla G
2 A. Ratiu D
24 F. Lejeune D
5 Luiz Felipe D
3 P. Chavarria D
17 U. Lopez M
6 P. Ciss M
12 I. Akhomach M
7 I. Palazon M
18 A. Garcia M
19 J. de Frutos F
Bench (11)
1 D. Cardenas
30 A. Molina
8 O. Trejo
15 G. Gumbau
22 Pacha
4 P. Diaz
9 Alemao
23 O. Valentin
32 N. Mendy
20 I. Balliu
10 S. Camello

Coach: Inigo Perez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Eskas · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.