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Conference League
Referee: J Pinheiro
Strasbourg
U U S S T
4–0
Full-time
Mainz
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Mainz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 64%
64%
64%
Points per game
2,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
55%
27%
Both score Ø 55%
73%
36%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,89 xG 0,24
60% Possession 40%
10 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Apr -26 Mainz – Strasbourg 2–0

Match report

Strasbourg Mainz
-5′
🟨 Robin Zentner
19′
🟨 Dominik Kohr
1–0 S. Nanasi ⚽
26′
2–0 A. Ouattara ⚽
J. Enciso
35′
Valentín Barco 🟨
36′
Sebastian Nanasi 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 N. Amiri
↦ N. Weiper
Samir El Mourabet 🟨
49′
E. Emegha 🔁
↦ S. Nanasi
58′
3–0 J. Enciso ⚽
M. Godo
69′
72′
🔁 A. Caci
↦ S. Widmer
72′
🔁 A. Sieb
↦ S. Kawasaki
4–0 E. Emegha ⚽
J. Enciso
74′
L. Hogsberg 🔁
↦ B. Chilwell
78′
G. Yassine 🔁
↦ A. Ouattara
79′
82′
🔁 W. Boving
↦ D. Kohr
82′
🔁 N. Veratschnig
↦ P. Mwene
M. Oyedele 🔁
↦ J. Enciso
88′
93′
🟨 Nikolas Veratschnig
93′
🟨 Armindo Sieb
Diego Moreira 🟨
94′
Martial Godo 🟨
96′
96′
🟥 Nadiem Amiri
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Strasbourg

4-2-3-1
39 M. Penders G
42 A. Ouattara D
2 A. Omobamidele D
6 I. Doukoure D
3 B. Chilwell D
32 V. Barco M
29 S. El Mourabet M
7 D. Moreira M
11 S. Nanasi M
20 M. Godo M
19 J. Enciso F
Bench (12)
1 K. Johnsson
60 G. Kerckaert
15 D. D. Fofana
10 E. Emegha
8 M. Oyedele
17 M. Amougou
80 G. Yassine
27 S. Amo-Ameyaw
83 R. Luis
24 L. Hogsberg
43 Y. Becker
38 J. Bosey

Coach: Gary O'Neil

Mainz

3-5-2
33 D. Batz G
21 D. da Costa D
4 S. Posch D
31 D. Kohr D
30 S. Widmer M
24 S. Kawasaki M
6 K. Sano M
8 P. Nebel M
2 P. Mwene M
20 P. Tietz F
44 N. Weiper F
Bench (12)
27 R. Zentner
1 L. Riess
10 N. Amiri
19 A. Caci
15 L. Maloney
11 A. Sieb
14 W. Boving
42 D. Gleiber
16 S. Bell
25 A. Hanche-Olsen
22 N. Veratschnig
48 K. Potulski

Coach: Urs Fischer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Pinheiro · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.