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Europa League
Referee: Horatiu Fesnic
Žilina
T T T T T
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Žilina HNK Hajduk Split
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
3,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,2
+0,2
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Žilina HNK Hajduk Split
21′
🟨 Šimun Hrgović
30′
🟨 Alec Van Hoorenbeeck
45′
A. Van Hoorenbeeck 0–1
S. Hrgovic
Half-time 0–1
M. Okal 🔁
↦ T. Paliscak
46′
48′
ℹ️ Alec Van Hoorenbeeck
VAR: Goal confirmed
1–1 M. Roginic
F. Kosa
52′
Marko Roginić ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
54′
64′
🔁 D. de Almeida
↦ N. Skoko
F. Bzdyl 🔁
↦ M. Kacer
66′
M. Fasko 🔁
↦ F. Kosa
66′
Xavier Adang 🟨
67′
S. Datko 🔁
↦ P. Ilko
72′
75′
🔁 A. Sanyang
↦ S. Hrgovic
75′
🔁 A. Guram
↦ R. Brajkovic
A. Florea 🔁
↦ X. Adang
82′
84′
🔁 M. Livaja
↦ M. Sego
1–2 D. Melnjak
own goal
90′
Andrei Florea 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Žilina

3-4-3
1 J. Badzgon G
33 T. Paliscak D
17 J. Minarik D
28 A. Narimanidze D
21 T. Hranica D
6 X. Adang M
66 M. Kacer M
20 K. Bari M
7 F. Kosa M
95 M. Roginic F
16 P. Ilko F
Bench (12)
26 T. Tarcsi
31 D. Sipos
2 M. Okal
9 P. Baleja
10 A. Florea
11 F. Bzdyl
14 M. Svoboda
23 M. Fasko
24 S. Datko
25 F. Kasa
34 L. Prokop
77 R. Petruska

Coach: Pavol Stano

HNK Hajduk Split

4-2-3-1
33 T. Silic G
22 M. Acapandie D
36 M. Skelin D
5 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
32 S. Hrgovic D
21 R. Pukstas M
4 A. Pajaziti M
28 R. Brajkovic M
37 N. Skoko M
17 D. Melnjak D
11 M. Sego F
Bench (12)
1 I. Ivusic
44 D. Stipica
3 R. Gabric
7 A. Sanyang
9 D. de Almeida
10 M. Livaja
14 R. Raci
15 D. Maresic
19 E. Brruti
20 A. del Moral
26 A. Guram
38 L. Hodak

Coach: Gonzalo Garcia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.