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Conference League
Referee: Aaron O’Dowd
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pyunik Yerevan Marsaxlokk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
3,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Pyunik Yerevan Marsaxlokk
8′
🟨 Ulises Jesús Arias
10′
🟥 Christoffer Mafoumbi
13′
🔁 A. Cassar
↦ Matheus
Sead Islamović 🟨
21′
Half-time 0–0
I. Griffith 🔁
↦ S. Islamovic
46′
V. Afyan 🔁
↦ N. Kainourgios
46′
53′
🔁 R. Mihana
↦ D. Simkus
59′
🟨 Weder Silva
E. Malakyan 🔁
↦ I. Pikis
60′
M. Yansane 🔁
↦ H. Harutyunyan
60′
80′
🟨 Juan Carlos Corbalan
1–0 D. Kulikov
80′
S. Metoyan 🔁
↦ M. Kovalenko
82′
Sargis Metoyan 🟨
85′
86′
🔁 E. Attard
↦ U. Arias
86′
🔁 O. Bykov
↦ E. Pepe
86′
🔁 L. Caruana
↦ J. Minala
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Pyunik Yerevan

4-3-3
16 H. Avagyan G
76 F. Almeida D
22 S. Islamovic M
79 S. Vakulenko D
3 N. Kainourgios D
18 K. Hovhannisyan M
25 D. Kulikov M
15 M. Kovalenko D
29 I. Pikis F
9 A. Dashyan D
11 H. Harutyunyan M
Bench (12)
71 S. Buchnev
4 E. Simonyan
7 E. Malakyan
8 G. Tarakhchyan
10 I. Griffith
17 V. Afyan
19 S. Metoyan
44 H. Tatosyan
49 A. Aharonyan
77 G. Miguel
88 R. Darbinyan
95 M. Yansane

Coach: Eghishe Melikyan

Marsaxlokk

4-4-2
22 C. Mafoumbi G
11 J. C. Corbalan
4 O. El Hasni D
5 E. Pepe D
3 Weder
6 N. Muscat M
33 D. Simkus M
25 J. Minala M
8 U. Arias M
95 Matheus F
10 Dodo F
Bench (10)
1 A. Cassar
7 I. Christie-Davies
9 R. Linden
14 E. Attard
16 G. Karamitsios
21 O. Bykov
24 L. Caruana
26 M. Maniscalco
27 L. Aguirre
28 R. Mihana

Coach: Vincenzo Potenza

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.