Europa League
Referee: Marek Radina
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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Who wins?
Pro
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Vestri
Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
3,0
5,3
Scored
0,0
1,8
Conceded
3,0
3,5
Goal diff per game
-3,0
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+3,0
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Goal markets
Pro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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Most likely result
Pro
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match stats
Half-time score: 0–2
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
Recent head-to-head meetings
9. Jul -26 Qarabag – Vestri 3–0Match report
Vestri
Qarabag
⚽
J. Mouaddib
0–1
Z. Sawo
⚽
Pedro Bicalho
0–2
Z. Sawo
Half-time 0–3
⚽
Z. Sawo
0–3
Kady Borges
G. Hauksson
🔁
↦ J. Stensson
B. Hermannsson
🔁
↦ E. Gardarsson
K. Cheshmedjiev
🔁
↦ S. Fall
🔁
O. Kashchuk
↦ J. Mouaddib
🔁
R. Cephas
↦ A. Zoubir
🔁
S. Lobato
↦ Pedro Bicalho
T. G. Hafthorsson
🔁
↦ J. Selven
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C. Makreckis
↦ B. Huseynov
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E. Cafarquliyev
↦ B. Langa
C. Morfelt
🔁
↦ B. Eydal
Full-time 0–3
Line-ups
Vestri
1
M. Steinarsson
G
22
E. Gardarsson
D
13
A. Johannsson
M
3
Edson Eduardo
D
45
G. Einarsson
D
7
J. Stensson
M
77
S. Fall
D
18
M. Hagbardsson
D
14
B. Eydal
D
11
J. Selven
M
19
E. Duah
M
Bench (10)
33
B. Snaedal
4
F. Gbadamosi
6
I. Balde
10
T. G. Hafthorsson
12
T. Phete
15
G. Svavarsson
17
G. Hauksson
23
B. Hermannsson
27
C. Morfelt
29
K. Cheshmedjiev
Qarabag
4-2-3-1
99
M. Kochalski
G
M. Kochalski
G
2
Matheus Silva
D
55
B. Huseynov
D
4
B. Varkonyi
D
5
B. Langa
D
35
Pedro Bicalho
M
8
M. Jankovic
M
7
J. Mouaddib
M
20
Kady Borges
M
10
A. Zoubir
11
Z. Sawo
F
Bench (10)
1
S. Mahammadaliyev
13
B. Mustafazada
18
Dani Bolt
21
O. Kashchuk
25
C. Makreckis
29
R. Cephas
32
H. Cabrayilzada
44
E. Cafarquliyev
49
A. Bashirov
88
S. Lobato
Coach: Qurban Qurbanov
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.