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Conference League
Referee: A Ghaltakhchyan
Ballkani
S U S T U
3–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ballkani GAP Connah S Quay FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 35%
50%
20%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,4
Scored
1,2
0,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
0,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Ballkani GAP Connah S Quay FC
Gentrit Halili 🟨
13′
1–0 E. Kuc
A. Dosso
20′
42′
🟨 Harry Franklin
Half-time 1–0
M. Ismajlgeci 🔁
↦ A. Klinaku
46′
2–0 Giovanni
D. Vokrri
49′
52′
🟨 Frankie Deane
53′
🔁 M. Woodcock
↦ F. Deane
3–0 V. Serebe
Giovanni
57′
E. Xhemajli 🔁
↦ E. Kuc
66′
66′
🔁 D. Stephenson
↦ D. Cowan
66′
🔁 H. Mehasseb
↦ H. Franklin
L. Dobratiqi 🔁
↦ Giovanni
67′
A. Berisha 🔁
↦ E. Ajazaj
67′
67′
🔁 A. Hughes
↦ C. West
69′
M. Woodcock 3–1
76′
H. Mehasseb 3–2
A. Diene 🔁
↦ V. Serebe
79′
80′
🟨 Dan Cowan
80′
🟨 Hussein Mehasseb
87′
🟨 Michael Stone
91′
🔁 F. Redshaw
↦ M. Stone
Ivica Batarelo 🟨
95′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Ballkani

4-3-3
25 A. Golubovic G
6 D. Vokrri
4 G. Halili D
28 I. Batarelo D
12 A. Dosso
5 A. Sabanadzovic
10 Giovanni M
20 E. Kuc
19 E. Ajazaj
9 V. Serebe F
30 A. Klinaku M
Bench (12)
1 A. Nika
13 I. Bytyqi
8 T. Domgjoni
14 M. Ismajlgeci
16 E. Xhemajli
21 A. Deliu
22 E. Letaj
23 L. Dobratiqi
29 A. Diene
32 B. Jashanica
92 E. Gjini
99 A. Berisha

Coach: Mislav Karoglan

GAP Connah S Quay FC

4-3-3
1 C. Renshaw G
11 M. Stone M
6 D. Cowan D
16 F. Deane M
3 S. Flynn D
22 J. Ferguson D
4 J. Jones D
23 A. Sharif M
20 I. Murray M
12 H. Franklin F
8 C. West M
Bench (9)
68 D. Liepa
5 A. Hughes
7 D. Stephenson
18 M. Woodcock
21 M. Fregapane
27 F. Redshaw
34 C. Partridge
37 J. Waterhouse
99 H. Mehasseb

Coach: John Disney

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.