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Conference League
Referee: J Sundberg
Ilves
T U S T U
3–1
Full-time
FC Differdange 03
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ilves FC Differdange 03
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
0,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Jul -26 FC Differdange 03 – Ilves 0–0

Match report

Ilves FC Differdange 03
Bamba Abdoul Goudouss 🟨
21′
45′
⚽ S. Thill 0–1
E. Rivas
Half-time 0–1
O. Pettersson 🔁
↦ G. Bamba
46′
1–1 Y. Raap ⚽
J. Kanga
57′
R. Riski 🔁
↦ T. Miettunen
60′
J. Kilo 🔁
↦ J. Veteli
60′
Yiandro Raap 🟥
68′
2–1 J. Kanga ⚽
68′
69′
🟨 Bruno Reis
69′
🟥 Juan Bedouret
69′
🟥 Gustavo Vintecinco
75′
🔁 B. Mfoumou
↦ Bruninho
75′
🔁 S. Melhor
↦ E. Rivas
3–1 R. Riski ⚽
J. Kanga
75′
O. Multala 🔁
↦ T. Hytonen
78′
78′
🔁 R. Pinto
↦ S. Thill
78′
🔁 M. Mabuza
↦ G. Franzoni
Ville Kumpu 🟨
81′
S. Vaisanen 🔁
↦ J. Kanga
85′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ilves

3-4-2-1
12 F. Krkalic G
24 V. Kumpu D
16 T. Miettunen D
3 M. Rale D
19 G. Bamba D
6 Y. Raap D
14 A. Popovitch M
13 K. Wallius M
30 J. Kanga M
7 J. Veteli M
9 T. Hytonen F
Bench (11)
1 O. Virtanen
31 R. Leislahti
4 O. Pettersson
5 S. Vaisanen
10 R. Riski
15 L. Ala-Myllymaki
17 S. Baranov
20 O. Tiitinen
22 O. Multala
25 S. Suvanne
28 J. Kilo

Coach: Joni Lehtonen

FC Differdange 03

3-5-1-1
1 Felipe G
4 K. D'Anzico
77 Leandro Borges M
14 J. Bedouret D
25 G. Franzoni D
8 Bruninho M
16 M. Grilo
21 L. Rauch M
24 E. Rivas
31 S. Thill M
95 Gustavo Vintecinco F
Bench (9)
99 H. Wolf
30 R. Da Silva Correia
7 B. Mfoumou
13 I. Nabais
17 M. Soares Delgado
20 R. Pinto
26 F. Mendes
42 M. Mabuza
88 S. Melhor

Coach: Pedro Resende

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Sundberg · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.