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Europa League
Referee: Jasmin Sabotic
Derry City
T S T S T
1–2
Full-time
CSKA Sofia
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Derry City CSKA Sofia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
5,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Jul -26 CSKA Sofia – Derry City 3–2

Match report

Derry City CSKA Sofia
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Ángelo Martino
N. Twisk 🔁
↦ K. Santos
46′
1–0 E. Chapman ⚽
B. Fleming
47′
74′
⚽ I. Pittas 1–1
D. Evtimov
75′
🟨 Teodor Ivanov
75′
🔁 J. Zwarts
↦ L. Godoy
75′
🔁 J. Eto'o
↦ P. Panayotov
J. Stott 🔁
↦ C. Grogan
77′
C. Dummigan 🔁
↦ J. Olayinka
77′
Christy Grogan 🟨
79′
90′
⚽ B. Cotter 2–1
own goal
94′
🟨 Facundo Rodríguez
J. Clarke 🔁
↦ E. Chapman
100′
100′
🔁 J. Gbamin
↦ I. Solet
103′
🟨 Stefano Sensi
106′
🔁 M. Brahimi
↦ I. Pittas
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Derry City

4-3-3
1 B. Maher G
22 C. Barr D
25 C. Grogan D
3 P. McClean D
19 B. Fleming M
8 A. O'Reilly M
28 J. Olayinka M
14 E. Chapman M
2 B. Cotter M
7 M. Duffy M
21 K. Santos M
Bench (10)
13 T. Norcott
26 S. Callister
4 J. Stott
6 R. Slevin
15 J. Clarke
16 J. McClean
17 N. Twisk
23 C. Dummigan
32 T. Doherty
35 L. Kelly

Coach: Tiernan Lynch

CSKA Sofia

3-5-2
25 D. Evtimov G
14 T. Ivanov D
30 P. Panayotov M
32 F. Rodriguez D
2 Pastor D
94 I. Solet M
6 B. Jordao M
8 S. Sensi M
17 A. Martino D
28 I. Pittas F
9 L. Godoy F
Bench (12)
31 D. Nikolov
3 T. Ouorou
5 J. Gbamin
10 J. Zwarts
11 M. Brahimi
19 A. Yordanov
34 V. Kaymakanov
38 Leo Pereira
77 A. Piedrahita
80 G. B. Chorbadzhiyski
91 A. Tunchev
99 J. Eto'o

Coach: Hristo Yanev

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.