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Conference League
Referee: R Lee
5–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Levadia Tallinn Caernarfon Town
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 35%
50%
20%
Points per game
1,7
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
67%
80%
Both score Ø 35%
50%
20%
Average goals
3,3
4,4
Scored
2,0
0,6
Conceded
1,3
3,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-3,2
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
5,0
5,0
Scored
5,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
5,0
Goal diff per game
+5,0
-5,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

FC Levadia Tallinn Caernarfon Town
1–0 E. Otoo
J. Saliste
4′
2–0 Wendell
B. Tambedou
20′
3–0 Joao Pedro
33′
Half-time 3–0
58′
🔁 D. Gosset
↦ I. Lewis
58′
🔁 O. Evans
↦ D. Thomas
Abraham Nwankwo 🟨
65′
65′
🟨 Zack Clarke
M. Roosnupp 🔁
↦ E. Otoo
66′
G. Lehtmets 🔁
↦ Wendell
66′
M. Skvortsov 🔁
↦ Joao Pedro
66′
H. Liiv 🔁
↦ J. Saliste
66′
Kaua Davi 🔁
↦ F. Liivak
66′
67′
🟨 Mathew Jones
4–0 B. Tambedou
G. Lehtmets
70′
76′
🔁 O. Zanzala
↦ Z. Clarke
87′
🔁 P. Mendes
↦ A. Cieslewicz
87′
🔁 C. Evans
↦ N. Edwards
5–0 M. Ainsalu
M. Roosnupp
89′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

FC Levadia Tallinn

4-3-3
99 K. Vallner G
23 F. Liivak D
35 V. Iboro D
20 A. Nwankwo D
29 J. Saliste D
36 Joao Pedro M
6 R. Peetson M
11 M. Ainsalu M
10 Wendell F
9 B. Tambedou F
33 E. Otoo M
Bench (9)
1 O. Ani
4 T. Tammik
5 M. Roosnupp
7 G. Lehtmets
17 R. Kirss
19 M. Sambe
21 M. Skvortsov
30 H. Liiv
71 Kaua Davi

Coach: Vjatseslav Zahovaiko

Caernarfon Town

5-4-1
1 C. Roberts G
27 R. Sears D
4 J. Piggott
5 P. Mooney D
23 C. Marriott D
3 M. Jones D
10 D. Thomas M
6 I. Lewis M
14 N. Edwards M
11 A. Cieslewicz M
9 Z. Clarke F
Bench (12)
13 H. Thomas
17 J. Williams
2 M. Owen
7 P. Mendes
8 D. Gosset
15 D. Smith
21 C. Evans
25 O. Zanzala
29 O. Evans
40 C. Griffith
49 H. Wyn
54 C. Williams

Coach: Richard Davies

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Lee · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.