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Europa League
Referee: Chris Kavanagh
Kairat Almaty
S T S T T
0–3
Full-time
Anderlecht
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kairat Almaty Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,5
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

33% Possession 67%
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
2 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Kairat Almaty Anderlecht
2′
⚽ J. Oksanen 1–0
own goal
21′
🟨 Mihajlo Cvetković
24′
⚽ L. Ambros 1–1
Aleksandr Shirobokov 🟥
39′
45′
⚽ D. Sikan 1–2
L. Ambros
Half-time 1–2
O. Baybek 🔁
↦ A. Mrynskiy
46′
46′
🔁 T. Degreef
↦ M. Cvetkovic
49′
🟨 Ali Maamar
52′
🟨 Giulian Biancone
A. Tuyakbaev 🔁
↦ M. Gual
60′
I. Bekbolat 🔁
↦ Edmilson
60′
63′
🔁 O. Antman
↦ J. Nga Kana
Jaakko Oksanen 🟨
64′
L. Kurgin 🔁
↦ L. Mata
72′
A. Sadybekov 🔁
↦ J. Oksanen
72′
74′
🟨 Enric Llansana
74′
🔁 M. Winkler
↦ A. Maamar
84′
🔁 N. Ojea
↦ E. Llansana
84′
🔁 A. Bertaccini
↦ D. Sikan
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Kairat Almaty

4-4-1-1
1 T. Anarbekov G
20 E. Tapalov D
25 A. Shirobokov D
44 Lucas Africo D
3 L. Mata D
24 A. Mrynskiy D
13 J. Oksanen M
22 G. Mendonsa M
19 O. Jukkola M
28 M. Gual F
9 Edmilson F
Bench (11)
30 D. Buch
82 S. Kalmurza
4 D. Kasabulat
5 L. Kurgin
6 A. Sadybekov
8 O. Baybek
15 M. Birkurmanov
17 A. Tuyakbaev
27 M. Abish
32 A. Nurgaliev
81 I. Bekbolat

Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin

Anderlecht

4-3-3
26 C. Coosemans G
79 A. Maamar D
27 L. Petrot D
4 G. Biancone D
6 L. Augustinsson D
18 L. Ambros M
55 M. Kana D
24 E. Llansana M
9 M. Cvetkovic F
14 D. Sikan F
61 J. Nga Kana M
Bench (12)
32 J. Heekeren
33 M. Seghers
2 Z. Keita
10 M. Winkler
11 O. Antman
49 J. Onia Seke
50 K. Barry
53 N. Ojea
62 B. Vroninks
68 N. Kalonji Kafumpata
83 T. Degreef
91 A. Bertaccini

Coach: Vitor Bruno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Chris Kavanagh · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.