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Conference League
Referee: K Tohver
Lincoln Red Imps FC
U T U U T
0–2
Full-time
Larne
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lincoln Red Imps FC Larne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
3 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Corners 9
0 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Aug -24 Larne – Lincoln Red Imps FC 3–1 22. Aug -24 Lincoln Red Imps FC – Larne 2–1

Match report

Lincoln Red Imps FC Larne
Manuel Toledano 🟨
20′
Yussef Flalhi Idrissi 🟥
27′
27′
🟨 Sean Graham
43′
🟨 Matthew Lusty
Half-time 0–0
A. Romero Morillo 🔁
↦ A. Mula
56′
57′
🟨 Montel Gibson
58′
🔁 K. O'Hara
↦ M. Gibson
T. Cardozo 🔁
↦ F. Alvarez
68′
K. Gomez 🔁
↦ M. Toledano
68′
G. Torrilla 🔁
↦ Joe
68′
68′
🔁 J. Simpson
↦ S. Graham
69′
🔁 J. McEneff
↦ C. Gallagher
Graeme Torrilla 🟨
72′
73′
🟨 Jordan McEneff
76′
🔁 C. McKendry
↦ D. Sloan
76′
🔁 P. O'Neill
↦ M. Lusty
A. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ Mandi
82′
84′
⚽ P. O'Neill 0–1
J. Simpson
90′
⚽ K. O'Hara 0–2
P. O'Neill
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Lincoln Red Imps FC

3-5-2
13 J. Hankins
6 B. Lopes D
3 C. Rutjens D
21 Nano M
66 J. Eersteling D
19 Y. Flalhi Idrissi F
8 Mandi M
23 Joe M
10 A. Mula M
32 F. Alvarez F
44 M. Toledano F
Bench (11)
1 Nauzet Santana
2 E. Jolley
4 N. Pinto
5 T. Cardozo
7 L. Casciaro
9 K. Gomez
11 A. Romero Morillo
17 A. Coulibaly
20 E. Britto
22 G. Torrilla
27 M. Hamm

Coach: Juan Bezares

Larne

4-3-3
1 R. Ferguson G
23 T. Cosgrove D
26 D. Bent M
3 M. Ridley D
4 A. Donnelly D
15 R. Doherty M
6 C. Gallagher M
11 S. Graham D
25 D. Sloan M
45 M. Gibson F
30 M. Lusty F
Bench (10)
2 L. Wallace
7 C. McKendry
8 M. Randall
9 P. O'Neill
14 B. Magee
16 J. Carney
17 J. Ukek
19 K. O'Hara
22 J. McEneff
47 J. Simpson

Coach: Gary Haveron

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

K Tohver · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.