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Europa League
Referee: Espen Eskas
FK Crvena Zvezda
T S S T T
3–0
Full-time
Plzen
U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Crvena Zvezda Plzen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
7 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FK Crvena Zvezda Plzen
Young-woo Seol 🟨
31′
1–0 M. Ivanic ⚽
T. Elsnik
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 C. Kabongo
↦ C. Souare
48′
🟨 Cheick Souaré
2–0 M. Ivanic ⚽
T. Elsnik
53′
61′
🔁 S. Pirgic
↦ T. Ladra
J. Enem 🔁
↦ M. Arnautovic
72′
A. Katai 🔁
↦ M. Ivanic
72′
73′
🔁 D. Visinsky
↦ F. Prebsl
73′
🔁 M. Vydra
↦ P. Adu
77′
🟨 Patrik Hrošovský
Vasilije Kostov 🟨
81′
84′
🟨 Sampson Dweh
M. Bajo 🔁
↦ V. Kostov
84′
F. Tebo Uchenna 🔁
↦ D. Luckassen
85′
86′
🔁 K. Spacil
↦ D. Krcik
88′
🟨 Karel Spáčil
3–0 A. Katai ⚽
89′
Aleksandar Katai ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
90′
L. Loizou 🔁
↦ O. Bukari
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-3-3
1 Matheus G
66 Seol Young-Woo D
32 D. Luckassen D
13 M. Veljkovic D
21 T. Elsnik M
4 M. Ivanic M
33 R. Krunic M
22 V. Kostov M
14 O. Bukari M
7 M. Arnautovic F
70 M. Cham M
Bench (11)
5 Rodrigo
6 M. Bajo
9 J. Enem
10 A. Katai
30 F. Tebo Uchenna
37 V. Lucic
45 S. Gudelj
50 S. Radanovic
60 M. Gashtarov
75 L. Loizou
77 I. Gutesa

Coach: Albert Riera

Plzen

4-4-1-1
44 F. Wiegele G
99 A. Memic M
40 S. Dweh D
37 D. Krcik D
14 M. Doski D
18 T. Ladra F
6 L. Cerv M
98 F. Prebsl D
19 C. Souare M
17 P. Hrosovsky M
80 P. Adu F
Bench (12)
1 D. Tapaj
5 K. Spacil
7 S. Lawal
9 D. Visinsky
10 M. Toure
11 M. Vydra
12 A. Sojka
20 J. Panos
23 B. Faal
25 C. Kabongo
36 S. Pirgic
66 S. Bohac

Coach: Martin Hysky

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.