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Eredivisie

Referee: J van der Laan

Sparta Rotterdam

U S S S U

2–3

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,2

3,7

Scored

1,3

3,3

Conceded

0,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+3,0

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

0,0

2,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%

8 Shots 25

3 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 11

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 6

12 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 11. · AZ Alkmaar 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Excelsior	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Twente	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Waalwijk	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Utrecht	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Heerenveen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cambuur	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Volendam	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	FC Emmen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Groningen	2	0	1	1	-5	1
16	For Sittard	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Vitesse	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Groningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Waalwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	FC Emmen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Utrecht	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Utrecht	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Waalwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cambuur	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.