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Bundesliga

Referee: A Heiß

Austria Vienna

S T S T U

2–2

Full-time

A. Lustenau

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna A. Lustenau

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

2,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

58% Possession 42%

23 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 4

9 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Austria Vienna 5. · A. Lustenau 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Salzburg	6	5	0	1	+13	15
3	Sturm Graz	6	3	2	1	+5	11
4	A. Lustenau	6	3	1	2	-2	10
5	Austria Vienna	6	2	2	2	-2	8
6	SK Rapid	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Tirol	6	2	1	3	-2	7
8	Hartberg	5	2	0	3	-3	6
9	Wolfsberger AC	6	1	2	3	-4	5
10	A. Klagenfurt	6	1	2	3	-4	5
11	Ried	6	1	1	4	-4	4
12	Altach	6	1	1	4	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Sturm Graz	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Hartberg	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	A. Lustenau	3	2	0	1	-2	6
6	Austria Vienna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Altach	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	A. Klagenfurt	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Ried	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	SK Rapid	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Tirol	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Wolfsberger AC	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Salzburg	3	2	0	1	+7	6
3	Sturm Graz	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Wolfsberger AC	3	1	1	1	+1	4
5	A. Lustenau	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Austria Vienna	4	1	1	2	-3	4
7	SK Rapid	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Tirol	3	1	0	2	-1	3
9	A. Klagenfurt	3	0	1	2	-4	1
10	Hartberg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
11	Ried	3	0	0	3	-4	0
12	Altach	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.