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Eliteserien
Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes
Aalesund
S T T T U
1–1
Full-time
Viking
U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Viking
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
44%
50%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 9. · Viking 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 19 12 5 2 +24 41
2 Sarpsborg 08 18 9 6 3 +12 33
3 Molde 19 9 4 6 +9 31
4 Brann 18 7 7 4 +16 28
5 Sandefjord 19 8 3 8 -4 27
6 Haugesund 17 7 4 6 +2 25
7 Odd 17 7 4 6 -5 25
8 Stabaek 18 7 4 7 -6 25
9 Aalesund 18 6 5 7 +0 23
10 Lillestrom 18 6 5 7 -1 23
11 Valerenga 17 6 5 6 -1 23
12 Stromsgodset 18 5 7 6 -3 22
13 Sogndal 19 5 5 9 -8 20
14 Kristiansund 18 4 6 8 -9 18
15 Viking 18 3 5 10 -11 14
16 Tromso 17 3 5 9 -15 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Viking
12′
T. Høiland 0–1
A. Danielsen
31′
🟨 Ross Jenkins
Half-time 0–1
51′
🟨 Rasmus Martinsen
56′
🟨 Samuel Adegbenro
66′
🔁 S. Ernemann
↦ S. Adegbenro
A. Þrándarson 🔁
↦ S. Fet
68′
Daniel Leo Gretarsson 🟨
80′
82′
🔁 M. Bringaker
↦ T. Høiland
Bjorn Helge Riise 🟨
88′
1–1 A. Papazoglou
D. Grétarsson
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

4-4-2
1 A. Lie G
5 O. Lie D
2 M. Kirkeskov D
3 D. Grétarsson D
21 B. Riise M
8 F. Carlsen M
14 E. Gyasi M
18 V. Hoff M
30 M. Abdellaoue F
10 A. Papazoglou F
17 S. Fet M
Bench (7)
11 A. Þrándarson
9 V. Berisha
15 Marlinho
22 A. Arnarson
37 J. Barstad
38 J. Hatlehol
25 J. Urke

Coach: T. Fredriksen

Viking

4-2-3-1
1 I. Austbø G
14 A. Danielsen M
13 Š. Gregov D
22 C. Kronberg D
28 K. Haugen D
2 R. Martinsen D
18 J. Ryerson M
8 R. Jenkins M
9 F. Torsteinbø M
10 T. Høiland F
7 S. Adegbenro F
Bench (7)
17 S. Ernemann
27 M. Bringaker
4 José Cruz
11 Z. Bytyqi
15 A. Wichne
20 T. Aasheim
25 U. Sale

Coach: I. Burchnall

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kristoffer Hagenes · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.