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Eredivisie
Referee: Jeroen Manschot
Willem II
T S T T T
1–2
Full-time
Excelsior
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Excelsior
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
10 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
8 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Feb -17 Excelsior – Willem II 0–2 17. Sep -16 Willem II – Excelsior 1–1 5. Feb -16 Excelsior – Willem II 0–0 7. Nov -15 Willem II – Excelsior 2–3

Match report

Willem II Excelsior
13′
🟨 Milan Massop
Jordens Peters 🟨
18′
29′
⚽ T. Wellenreuther 1–0
own goal
44′
🟨 Jurgen Matheij
Half-time 1–1
52′
⚽ Z. El Azzouzi 1–1
K. Vermeulen
J. Croux 🔁
↦ K. Coulibaly
59′
Ismail Azzaoui 🟨
62′
2–1 Fran Sol ⚽
65′
Pedro Chirivella 🟨
69′
T. Haye 🔁
↦ D. Crowley
69′
69′
🔁 A. Messaoud
↦ Z. El Azzouzi
80′
🔁 J. Caenepeel
↦ K. Vermeulen
A. Calcan 🔁
↦ I. Azzaoui
84′
85′
🔁 A. Hadouir
↦ L. Bruins
90′
🟨 Hicham Faik
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Willem II

4-2-3-1
1 T. Wellenreuther G
4 J. Peters D
29 D. Lachman D
3 F. Heerkens D
2 F. Lewis D
21 K. Tsimikas D
14 D. Crowley M
6 Chirivella M
38 I. Azzaoui M
7 K. Coulibaly F
9 Fran Sol F
Bench (9)
11 J. Croux
10 T. Haye
30 A. Calcan
20 E. Lieftink
43 T. Kok
16 B. Urbański
31 M. Branderhorst
45 E. Bostanci
93 S. van der Lei

Coach: E. van de Looi

Excelsior

4-3-3
1 A. Damen G
15 J. Mattheij D
5 M. Massop D
4 W. Faes D
10 L. Bruins F
8 R. Koolwijk M
22 Jeffry Fortes D
6 H. Faik M
18 K. Vermeulen M
11 S. Elbers F
19 Z. El Azzouzi F
Bench (10)
14 A. Messaoud
23 J. Caenepeel
7 A. Hadouir
21 D. Haspolat
31 M. Afaker
16 M. Havekotte
34 J. Mangert
13 T. te Duits
17 D. Payne
41 L. Van Dijk

Coach: M. van der Gaag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jeroen Manschot · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.