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Primeira Liga

Referee: Rui Oliveira

Pacos Ferreira

S T T U T

2–2

Full-time

Aves

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Aves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-2,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

2,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

56% Possession 44%

17 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 14. · Aves 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Rio Ave	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Belenenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Moreirense	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Feirense	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Boavista	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Aves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Feirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Aves	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Feirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.