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Primeira Liga

Referee: Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo

Tondela

T S S S U

0–1

Full-time

Porto

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tondela Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

4,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%

3 Shots 16

1 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

21 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tondela 12. · Porto 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Rio Ave	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Belenenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Moreirense	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Feirense	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Aves	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Boavista	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Feirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Aves	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Aves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Feirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.