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OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger
U S T T T
6–1
Full-time
Jerv
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kongsvinger Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 25%
22%
28%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
61%
50%
Both score Ø 61%
61%
61%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kongsvinger 13. · Jerv 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 19 14 3 2 +26 45
2 Ranheim 18 10 5 3 +7 35
3 Start 18 10 4 4 +14 34
4 Sandnes ULF 18 9 5 4 +5 32
5 Floro 18 8 4 6 +6 28
6 Levanger 18 6 7 5 +7 25
7 Tromsdalen Uil 18 6 6 6 -1 24
8 Ull/Kisa 17 7 3 7 -3 24
9 Strommen 18 6 5 7 -4 23
10 Jerv 18 5 7 6 +1 22
11 Asane 18 5 7 6 -6 22
12 Mjondalen 17 4 7 6 +2 19
13 Kongsvinger 18 4 5 9 -4 17
14 Fredrikstad 18 2 8 8 -10 14
15 Elverum 19 2 8 9 -21 14
16 Arendal 18 2 4 12 -19 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kongsvinger Jerv
1–0 A. Güven
12′
2–0 Maikel Nieves
23′
24′
B. Akintola 2–1
3–1 Maikel Nieves
43′
Half-time 4–1
4–1 N. Castro
64′
M. Moldskred 🔁
↦ A. Güven
67′
5–1 N. Castro
68′
69′
🔁 C. MacConnacher
↦ M. Ogungbaro
69′
🔁 E. Haugstad
↦ U. Berglann
69′
🔁 Idelino
↦ A. Hagen
Ø. Røyrane 🔁
↦ Maikel Nieves
71′
M. Vinjor 🔁
↦ Helio Pinto
74′
6–1 M. Moldskred
87′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Kongsvinger

1 S. Kjellevold
3 J. Richardsen
7 D. Murnane
4 A. Ovlien
14 M. Skjellum
13 Helio Pinto
23 F. Sjølstad
17 J. Kolstad
9 A. Güven
11 Maikel Nieves
24 N. Castro
Bench (7)
18 M. Moldskred
20 Ø. Røyrane
12 M. Vinjor
5 C. Røer
15 K. Suslov
16 H. Holter
93 A. Gorodovoy

Coach: H. Eriksen

Jerv

1 Ø. Knutsen
2 G. Andersen
5 N. Andersen
3 B. Wembangomo
19 K. Tønnessen
10 E. Danso
6 M. Wichmann
23 A. Hagen
25 M. Ogungbaro
7 U. Berglann
13 B. Akintola
Bench (7)
8 C. MacConnacher
9 E. Haugstad
45 Idelino
4 E. Knudsen
12 S. Christensen
15 H. Hovstad
20 J. Toft

Coach: A. Sandstø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.