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Eliteserien
Referee: Trygve Kjensli
Aalesund
U S T T T
3–3
Full-time
Brann
S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 38%
35%
41%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
41%
41%
Both score Ø 50%
53%
47%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 1
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 11. · Brann 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 18 11 5 2 +23 38
2 Sarpsborg 08 18 9 6 3 +12 33
3 Molde 18 9 4 5 +10 31
4 Brann 17 7 6 4 +16 27
5 Haugesund 17 7 4 6 +2 25
6 Odd 17 7 4 6 -5 25
7 Stabaek 18 7 4 7 -6 25
8 Sandefjord 18 7 3 8 -5 24
9 Valerenga 16 6 5 5 +1 23
10 Lillestrom 18 6 5 7 -1 23
11 Aalesund 17 6 4 7 +0 22
12 Sogndal 18 5 5 8 -7 20
13 Stromsgodset 17 4 7 6 -5 19
14 Kristiansund 18 4 6 8 -9 18
15 Viking 18 3 5 10 -11 14
16 Tromso 17 3 5 9 -15 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Brann
10′
J. Orlov 0–1
V. Jonsson
12′
K. Barmen 0–2
Vebjørn Hoff 🟨
18′
33′
🔁 A. Nouri
↦ V. Jonsson
1–2 A. Papazoglou
36′
Half-time 1–2
53′
🟨 Jonas Gronner
E. Gyasi 🔁
↦ S. Fet
61′
Mikkel Kirkeskov 🟨
62′
69′
K. Barmen 1–3
M. Abdellaoue 🔁
↦ V. Berisha
70′
Kaj Ramsteijn 🟨
71′
72′
🔁 P. Larsen
↦ K. Barmen
D. Grétarsson 🔁
↦ F. Carlsen
77′
2–3 M. Abdellaoue
82′
88′
🔁 A. Karadas
↦ J. Orlov
90′
🟨 Azar Karadas
3–3 M. Abdellaoue
92′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Aalesund

4-4-2
1 A. Lie G
5 O. Lie D
2 M. Kirkeskov D
6 K. Ramsteijn D
22 A. Arnarson D
8 F. Carlsen M
11 A. Þrándarson M
18 V. Hoff M
10 A. Papazoglou F
9 V. Berisha F
17 S. Fet M
Bench (7)
14 E. Gyasi
30 M. Abdellaoue
3 D. Grétarsson
38 J. Hatlehol
21 B. Riise
23 P. Heigre
15 Marlinho

Coach: T. Fredriksen

Brann

4-3-3
1 A. Horwath G
3 V. Wormgoor D
21 R. Kristiansen D
5 J. Grønner D
6 V. Jonsson D
17 G. Sørensen F
8 F. Haugen M
23 S. Nilsen M
29 K. Barmen M
9 K. Skaanes M
10 J. Orlov F
Bench (7)
33 A. Nouri
7 P. Larsen
18 A. Karadas
34 M. Bildöy
11 S. Skålevik
22 T. Børven
12 M. Pettersen

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Trygve Kjensli · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.