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Conference League
Referee: D Robertson
Zrinjski
U S T T U
4–3
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zrinjski AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,81 xG 1,54
28% Possession 72%
8 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 9
2 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
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Recent matches

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.