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Conference League
Referee: G Bogár
Brann
S T S S U
3–3
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

53% Possession 47%
10 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 25
3 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Aug -23 AZ Alkmaar – Brann 1–1

Match report

Brann AZ Alkmaar
12′
⚽ M. Lahdo 0–1
20′
🟨 Vangelis Pavlidis
29′
⚽ S. Mijnans 0–2
Sivert Heltne Nilsen 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–2
1–2 F. Knudsen ⚽
46′
U. Mathisen 🔁
↦ S. Kartum
46′
J. Sery Larsen 🔁
↦ R. Kristiansen
46′
50′
⚽ R. van Bommel 1–3
Fredrik Knudsen 🟨
54′
58′
🟨 Dani de Wit
J. Soltvedt 🔁
↦ S. Crone
63′
65′
🟨 David Möller Wolfe
2–3 J. Soltvedt ⚽
66′
71′
🔁 M. de Wit
↦ D. Møller Wolfe
71′
🔁 E. Poku
↦ R. van Bommel
75′
🟨 Mathew Ryan
77′
🟨 Mayckel Lahdo
A. Heggebø 🔁
↦ N. Castro
80′
M. Simba 🔁
↦ T. Pedersen
80′
81′
🟨 Yukinari Sugawara
3–3 J. Sery Larsen ⚽
82′
84′
🔁 J. Odgaard
↦ V. Pavlidis
91′
🔁 Alexandre Penetra
↦ K. Goudmijn
Frederik Børsting 🟨
96′
112′
🔁 D. Mihailović
↦ R. Bazoer
112′
🔁 Tiago Dantas
↦ M. Lahdo
Felix Horn Myhre ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
120′
Felix Horn Myhre 🟥
121′
4–3 B. Finne ⚽
121′
122′
⚽ D. de Wit 4–4
5–4 S. Heltne Nilsen ⚽
123′
124′
⚽ Y. Sugawara 5–5
6–5 A. Heggebø ⚽
125′
126′
⚽ J. Odgaard 6–6
7–6 M. Simba ⚽
127′
128′
⚽ S. Mijnans 7–7
8–7 J. Soltvedt ⚽
129′
130′
⚽ D. Mihailović 8–8
F. Børsting ❌
penalty missed
131′
132′
⚽ Alexandre Penetra 8–9
Full-time 8–9

Line-ups

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
13 S. Crone D
3 F. Knudsen D
21 R. Kristiansen D
23 T. Pedersen D
8 F. Myhre M
19 S. Heltne Nilsen M
18 S. Kartum M
10 F. Børsting F
11 B. Finne F
9 N. Castro F
Bench (8)
14 U. Mathisen
6 J. Sery Larsen
17 J. Soltvedt
20 A. Heggebø
22 M. Simba
12 E. Holmen Johansen
40 E. Helland
35 J. Torsvik

Coach: E. Horneland

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Ryan G
2 Y. Sugawara D
25 R. Bazoer D
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
18 D. Møller Wolfe D
10 D. de Wit M
16 S. Mijnans M
28 K. Goudmijn M
23 M. Lahdo F
9 V. Pavlidis F
15 R. van Bommel F
Bench (12)
34 M. de Wit
21 E. Poku
7 J. Odgaard
5 Alexandre Penetra
6 Tiago Dantas
14 D. Mihailović
44 D. Kwakman
31 D. Deen
19 M. van Brederode
12 H. Verhulst
22 M. Dekker
30 D. Kasius

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Bogár · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.