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Europa League
Referee: N Dabanović
Sturm Graz
T S S S U
1–2
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,63 xG 1,80
39% Possession 61%
7 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sturm Graz Sp Lisbon
Jusuf Gazibegović 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 W. Bøving ⚽
58′
62′
🔁 Nuno Santos
↦ Matheus Reis
62′
🔁 Pote
↦ Trincão
S. Włodarczyk 🔁
↦ M. Sarkaria
63′
T. Horvat 🔁
↦ O. Kiteishvili
69′
76′
🔁 H. Morita
↦ M. Hjulmand
76′
🔁 M. Edwards
↦ Daniel Bragança
76′
🔁 Iván Fresneda
↦ Geny Catamo
76′
⚽ V. Gyökeres 1–1
84′
⚽ O. Diomande 1–2
M. Fuseini 🔁
↦ S. Hierländer
88′
Bryan Teixeira 🔁
↦ W. Bøving
88′
M. Johnston 🔁
↦ J. Gazibegović
88′
David Affengruber 🟨
90′
94′
🟨 Paulinho
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
1 K. Scherpen G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
44 A. Dante D
25 S. Hierländer M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
11 M. Sarkaria F
15 W. Bøving F
Bench (12)
9 S. Włodarczyk
19 T. Horvat
29 M. Fuseini
17 Bryan Teixeira
2 M. Johnston
35 N. Geyrhofer
38 L. Grgić
43 H. Obi
40 L. Marić
24 D. Lavalée
28 D. Schnegg
21 S. Stückler

Coach: C. Ilzer

Sp Lisbon

3-4-3
1 Adán G
26 O. Diomande D
4 S. Coates D
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
21 Geny Catamo M
42 M. Hjulmand M
23 Daniel Bragança M
2 Matheus Reis M
17 Trincão F
9 V. Gyökeres F
20 Paulinho F
Bench (12)
11 Nuno Santos
8 Pote
5 H. Morita
10 M. Edwards
22 Iván Fresneda
12 F. Israel
41 Diego Callai
13 Luís Neto
72 Eduardo Quaresma
14 Dário Essugo
91 Rodrigo Ribeiro
47 Ricardo Esgaio

Coach: Rúben Amorim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Dabanović · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.