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Europa League
Referee: R Saggi
St. Gilloise
S S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Toulouse
S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Toulouse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,27 xG 1,41
46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Match report

St. Gilloise Toulouse
Charles Vanhoutte 🟨
14′
33′
🟨 Aron Dønnum
40′
🔁 F. Magri
↦ Z. Aboukhlal
Half-time 0–1
48′
⚽ T. Dallinga 0–1
Kevin Mac Allister 🟨
53′
60′
🔁 César Gelabert
↦ C. Cásseres
60′
🔁 W. Kamanzi
↦ A. Dønnum
M. Amoura 🔁
↦ C. Vanhoutte
62′
K. Rodríguez 🔁
↦ G. Nilsson
62′
66′
🟨 Logan Costa
1–1 M. Amoura ⚽
Cameron Puertas
69′
Noah Sadiki 🟨
78′
82′
🔁 Y. Begraoui
↦ T. Dallinga
82′
🔁 M. Diarra
↦ G. Suazo
M. Rasmussen 🔁
↦ Cameron Puertas
84′
86′
🟨 Frank Magri
C. Terho 🔁
↦ L. Lapoussin
87′
94′
🟨 Logan Costa
94′
🟥 Logan Costa
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-4-3
49 A. Moris G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
48 F. Leysen D
21 A. Castro-Montes M
27 N. Sadiki M
24 C. Vanhoutte M
10 L. Lapoussin M
8 L. Amani F
29 G. Nilsson F
23 Cameron Puertas F
Bench (9)
47 M. Amoura
13 K. Rodríguez
4 M. Rasmussen
17 C. Terho
35 N. Huygevelde
34 M. Wenssens
14 J. Imbrechts
11 H. Teklab
26 R. Sykes

Coach: A. Blessin

Toulouse

4-2-3-1
50 G. Restes G
3 M. Desler D
6 Logan Costa D
2 R. Nicolaisen D
17 G. Suazo D
24 C. Cásseres M
8 V. Sierro M
7 Z. Aboukhlal M
20 N. Schmidt M
15 A. Dønnum M
9 T. Dallinga F
Bench (10)
19 F. Magri
11 César Gelabert
12 W. Kamanzi
14 Y. Begraoui
23 M. Diarra
21 M. Bangré
25 K. Keben
5 D. Genreau
30 Álex Domínguez
40 J. Lacombe

Coach: Carles Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.