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Conference League
Referee: D Robertson
Zrinjski
U S T T U
4–3
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zrinjski AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,81 xG 1,54
28% Possession 72%
8 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 9
2 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Zrinjski AZ Alkmaar
10′
⚽ M. van Brederode 0–1
M. Lahdo
32′
⚽ S. Mijnans 0–2
Slobodan Jakovljević 🟨
42′
44′
⚽ D. de Wit 0–3
V. Pavlidis
Half-time 0–3
Z. Kožulj 🔁
↦ A. Balić
46′
1–3 Z. Kožulj ⚽
48′
T. Kiš 🔁
↦ D. Čanađija
63′
64′
🔁 I. Sadiq
↦ M. Lahdo
64′
🔁 R. van Bommel
↦ M. van Brederode
2–3 J. Ćorluka ⚽
A. Ivančić
68′
M. Malekinušić 🔁
↦ M. Ćuže
70′
A. Hrvanović 🔁
↦ M. Tičinović
70′
Aldin Hrvanović 🟨
71′
3–3 A. Hrvanović ⚽
M. Malekinušić
71′
F. Bradarić 🔁
↦ A. Ivančić
81′
4–3 Z. Kožulj ⚽
81′
Zvonimir Kožulj 🟨
83′
83′
🔁 K. Goudmijn
↦ S. Mijnans
87′
🔁 J. Odgaard
↦ R. Bazoer
Filip Bradarić 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Jordy Clasie
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Zrinjski

4-3-3
35 M. Marić G
6 J. Ćorluka D
27 S. Jakovljević D
15 S. Radić D
50 K. Memija D
20 A. Ivančić M
14 A. Balić M
5 D. Čanađija M
25 M. Ćuže F
99 N. Bilbija F
91 M. Tičinović F
Bench (12)
93 Z. Kožulj
10 T. Kiš
17 M. Malekinušić
22 A. Hrvanović
26 F. Bradarić
2 L. Marin
9 F. Sabljić
24 P. Mišić
29 A. Prskalo
8 D. Zlomislić
95 M. Senić
55 O. Niron

Coach: K. Rendulić

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Ryan G
2 Y. Sugawara D
25 R. Bazoer D
5 Alexandre Penetra D
18 D. Møller Wolfe D
8 J. Clasie M
10 D. de Wit M
16 S. Mijnans M
23 M. Lahdo F
9 V. Pavlidis F
19 M. van Brederode F
Bench (11)
11 I. Sadiq
15 R. van Bommel
28 K. Goudmijn
7 J. Odgaard
14 D. Mihailović
33 W. Goes
22 M. Dekker
6 Tiago Dantas
20 R. Owusu-Oduro
12 H. Verhulst
30 D. Kasius

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.