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Referee: M Al Hakim
Sturm Graz
T U S T U
4–1
Full-time
Slovan Bratislava
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Slovan Bratislava
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,48 xG 1,10
55% Possession 45%
25 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Sturm Graz Slovan Bratislava
1–0 M. Biereth ⚽
T. Horvat
4′
8′
⚽ G. Rodrigues 1–1
J. Zmrhal
2–1 J. Gorenc Stankovič ⚽
D. Affengruber
27′
44′
🟨 Jaromír Zmrhal
Half-time 2–1
W. Bøving 🔁
↦ M. Sarkaria
59′
3–1 O. Kiteishvili ⚽
64′
68′
🔁 V. Weiss
↦ T. Barseghyan
S. Włodarczyk 🔁
↦ M. Biereth
71′
Jusuf Gazibegović 🟨
77′
77′
🟨 Gerson Rodrigues
77′
ℹ️ Vladimír Weiss
VAR: Card upgrade
78′
🟥 Vladimír Weiss
79′
🔁 M. Tolić
↦ D. Strelec
S. Hierländer 🔁
↦ O. Kiteishvili
82′
A. Camara 🔁
↦ A. Prass
83′
M. Johnston 🔁
↦ J. Gazibegović
83′
4–1 A. Camara ⚽
T. Horvat
91′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-3
16 V. Jaroš G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
24 D. Lavalée D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
11 M. Sarkaria F
18 M. Biereth F
10 O. Kiteishvili F
Bench (12)
15 W. Bøving
9 S. Włodarczyk
25 S. Hierländer
36 A. Camara
2 M. Johnston
35 N. Geyrhofer
28 D. Schnegg
14 Javi Serrano
6 A. Borković
38 L. Grgić
31 L. Marić
45 C. Wiener-Pucher

Coach: C. Ilzer

Slovan Bratislava

4-3-3
31 M. Trnovský G
25 L. Pauschek D
4 G. Kashia D
12 K. Bajrič D
8 J. Zmrhal D
20 J. Kankava M
88 K. Savvidīs M
33 J. Kucka M
11 T. Barseghyan F
10 G. Rodrigues F
13 D. Strelec F
Bench (7)
7 V. Weiss
24 M. Tolić
30 A. Mikoláš
18 N. Marcelli
27 M. Vojtko
35 A. Hrdina
26 F. Lichý

Coach: V. Weiss

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.