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Europa League
Referee: N Dabanović
Milan
S S U S S
3–0
Full-time
Rennes
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,2
2,5
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,35 xG 0,77
59% Possession 41%
19 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Milan Rennes
1–0 R. Loftus-Cheek ⚽
A. Florenzi
32′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 R. Loftus-Cheek ⚽
47′
3–0 Rafael Leão ⚽
T. Hernández
53′
N. Okafor 🔁
↦ Rafael Leão
62′
M. Thiaw 🔁
↦ S. Kjær
62′
67′
🔁 A. Gouiri
↦ A. Kalimuendo
67′
🔁 A. Seidu
↦ G. Doué
I. Bennacer 🔁
↦ R. Loftus-Cheek
75′
F. Terracciano 🔁
↦ A. Florenzi
75′
75′
🔁 A. Nagida
↦ A. Truffert
75′
🔁 L. Blas
↦ A. Matusiwa
76′
🔁 I. Salah
↦ D. Doué
Y. Adli 🔁
↦ C. Pulišić
81′
87′
🟨 Mahamadou Nagida
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Milan

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
42 A. Florenzi D
24 S. Kjær D
46 M. Gabbia D
19 T. Hernández D
80 Y. Musah M
14 T. Reijnders M
11 C. Pulišić M
8 R. Loftus-Cheek M
10 Rafael Leão M
9 O. Giroud F
Bench (11)
17 N. Okafor
28 M. Thiaw
4 I. Bennacer
38 F. Terracciano
7 Y. Adli
15 L. Jović
83 A. Mirante
81 V. Eletu
84 C. Nsiala-Makengo
57 M. Sportiello
95 D. Bartesaghi

Coach: S. Pioli

Rennes

4-4-2
30 S. Mandanda G
17 G. Doué D
23 W. Omari D
5 A. Theate D
3 A. Truffert D
14 B. Bourigeaud M
8 B. Santamaría M
6 A. Matusiwa M
33 D. Doué M
9 A. Kalimuendo F
7 M. Terrier F
Bench (12)
10 A. Gouiri
36 A. Seidu
43 A. Nagida
11 L. Blas
34 I. Salah
39 M. Lambourde
16 J. Belocian
38 D. Cissé
99 B. Yıldırım
1 G. Gallon
15 C. Wooh
40 G. Lembet

Coach: J. Stéphan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Dabanović · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.